Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 29

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday


	Bagnolese		Giana Erminio

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.7	2.25
	3.4	2.75	2.2
	2.93	2.66	2.54
	3.15	2.75	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (4.88)	2.72 ↓ (3.2)	2.36 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bagnolese
28.5%

Draw
33.3%

Giana Erminio
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

27.1%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

26.2%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bagnolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bagnolese's performance.

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Giana Erminio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bagnolese than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bagnolese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giana Erminio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bagnolese - Giana Erminio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Bagnolese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Giana Erminio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Giana Erminio is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bagnolese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GS Bagnolese
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.02.23	Lentigione - Bagnolese	4:0 ✺
12.02.23	Bagnolese - Pistoiese	0:1 ✺
08.02.23	Forlì - Bagnolese	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Bagnolese - AC Carpi	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Salsomaggiore - Bagnolese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLTW
- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.02.23	Giana Erminio - Forlì	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Prato - Giana Erminio	0:3 ✺
08.02.23	Giana Erminio - Ravenna	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	SantAngelo - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Pistoiese - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
23.10.22	Giana Erminio - Bagnolese	1:1

Upcoming Matches