Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 11

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Joia da Princesa (Feira de Santana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV 3, Zapping


	Bahia		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.55
	5.2	3.95	1.52
	6.11	3.87	1.54
	6.04	3.93	1.55
	5.75	4	1.48
	5.2	3.95	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.51 ↑ (5.01)	3.92 ↑ (3.9)	1.53 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia
16.6%

Draw
23.4%

São Paulo
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

23.3%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

22.3%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Bahia - São Paulo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Yanne (G) 27. Ary 13. Camila Santos 28. Cassia (C) 5. Gomez A. 96. Ju Oliveira 14. Kaiuska 4. Nalon N. 7. Rhaizza 64. Tchula 18. Vilma	12. Carlinha (G) 7. Aline 23. Bia Menezes 10. Camilinha 19. Crivelari 4. Day Silva 11. Dudinha 77. Isa 3. Kaka 8. Maressa 95. Robinha
Substitutes
3. Aila 16. Barbosa C. 24. Carballo W. 33. Dida (G) 20. Ellen Santana 9. Gica 88. Helo 6. India 1. Nagila (G) 70. Thais Prado	1. Anna Bia (G) 25. Anny 16. Carol Gil 21. Day 6. Je Soares 5. Karla Alves 80. Majhu 17. Milena Ferreira 88. Serrana

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Rhaizza ⚽,
5', Nalon N. 🟨,
19', Camila Santos 🟨,
35', Aline 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Isa ↓, Karla Alves ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Crivelari ⚽,
56', Camilinha 🟨,
57', Kaiuska ↓, Mari Pires ↑,
58', Cassia ↓, Carballo W. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Gomez A. (Own goal),
73', Rhaizza ↓, Luana Rodrigues ↑,
73', Tchula ↓, Barbosa C. ↑,
81', 🟨,
82', Camilinha ↓, Anny ↑,
82', Dudinha ↓, Carol Gil ↑,
85', 🟨,
86', Gomez A. ↓, Thais Prado ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, São Paulo is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Bahia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia Women
Brasileiro Women
11.05.25	Cruzeiro - Bahia	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Corinthians - Bahia	5:1 ✺
01.05.25	Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Bahia - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Palmeiras - Bahia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWL
- São Paulo FC Women
Brazilian Paulista Women
15.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo	0:3 ✺
Brasileiro Women
09.05.25	São Paulo - Fluminense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
06.05.25	São Paulo - Santos	1:2 ✺
Brasileiro Women
03.05.25	Palmeiras - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
30.04.25	São Paulo - América Mineiro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
25.02.23	São Paulo - Bahia	1:1
24.06.21	Bahia - São Paulo	2:3

Bahia - São Paulo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide