Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 9

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Bahia U20		Flamengo RJ U20

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.1
	2	3.3	3.2
	1.96	3.61	3.62
	1.96	3.51	3.44	Watch
	2	3.2	3.2
	1.93	3.4	3.47
	1.9	3.45	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.9)	3.39 ↓ (3.45)	3.33 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia U20
46.1%

Draw
26.7%

Flamengo RJ U20
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

25.8%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

26.3%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Flamengo RJ U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia U20 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo RJ U20 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Bahia U20 - Flamengo RJ U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Joao Coni ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia U20 won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Flamengo U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bahia U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bahia U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.5:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bahia U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahia U20
Brasileiro U20
26.04.26	Bahia U20 - Vitória U20	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Bahia U20	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
19.04.26	Galícia U20 - Bahia U20	0:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
15.04.26	Bahia U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:4 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
11.04.26	Bahia U20 - Camaçariense U20	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLWLW
- Flamengo RJ U20
Brasileiro U20
25.04.26	Flamengo RJ U20 - Cruzeiro U20	0:0 ✺
22.04.26	Flamengo RJ U20 - Fluminense U20	1:0 ✺
15.04.26	Grêmio U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	0:1 ✺
08.04.26	Flamengo RJ U20 - Fortaleza U20	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	Criciúma U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
07.05.25	Flamengo RJ U20 - Bahia U20	2:0
02.07.24	Bahia U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	0:2
23.07.22	Flamengo RJ U20 - Bahia U20	3:0
19.09.21	Flamengo RJ U20 - Bahia U20	3:1
03.12.20	Bahia U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	1:0
02.07.19	Flamengo RJ U20 - Bahia U20	3:1

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