Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 3

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Bahia U20		Fluminense U20

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.65
	1.89	3.62	3.85
	1.85	3.59	3.72	Watch
	1.85	3.25	3.6
	1.83	3.45	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.86)	3.44 ↓ (3.54)	3.72 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia U20
49.1%

Draw
26.4%

Fluminense U20
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

26%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

26.5%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Fluminense U20 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia U20 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense U20 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Bahia U20 - Fluminense U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Dell ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 1 - 1, Naara ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, Carioca G. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bahia U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia U20 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bahia U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahia U20
Brasileiro U20
26.02.26	Bahia U20 - Corinthians U20	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Cuiabá U20 - Bahia U20	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copinha
12.01.26	Bahia U20 - Atlético Piauiense U20	2:3 penalties ✺
09.01.26	America SP U20 - Bahia U20	0:4 ✺
06.01.26	CS Alagoano U20 - Bahia U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLWT
- Fluminense U20
Brasileiro U20
25.02.26	América MG U20 - Fluminense U20	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Fluminense U20 - Fortaleza U20	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copinha
15.01.26	Fluminense U20 - Ituano U20	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Fluminense U20 - Referência U20	2:1 penalties ✺
11.01.26	Sfera U20 - Fluminense U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
28.05.25	Bahia U20 - Fluminense U20	2:1
09.04.24	Fluminense U20 - Bahia U20	0:1
26.06.21	Bahia U20 - Fluminense U20	2:2
23.09.20	Fluminense U20 - Bahia U20	2:0
29.08.19	Bahia U20 - Fluminense U20	0:1

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