Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 14

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday


	Bahia U20		Grêmio U20

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.7	3.9
	1.74	3.81	4.38
	1.66	3.7	4
	1.76	3.83	3.99
	1.68	3.71	3.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.77)	3.75 ↓ (3.82)	3.95 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia U20
53%

Draw
24.1%

Grêmio U20
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

23.8%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Grêmio U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia U20 than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio U20 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Bahia U20 - Grêmio U20 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Amanda Brunner ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia U20 won 0.

In recent matches, Bahia U20 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Grêmio U20 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Grêmio U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bahia U20 is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bahia U20 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.6:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bahia U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahia U20
Brazilian Baiano U20
14.06.25	Bahia U20 - SSA U20	9:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
10.06.25	Fortaleza U20 - Bahia U20	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
05.06.25	Alagoinhas U20 - Bahia U20	1:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
28.05.25	Bahia U20 - Fluminense U20	2:1 ✺
21.05.25	Atletico GO U20 - Bahia U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWW
- Grêmio RS U20
Brazilian Gaucho U20
14.06.25	Grêmio U20 - São Luiz U20	4:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
11.06.25	Cruzeiro U20 - Grêmio U20	5:1 ✺
Brazilian Gaucho U20
01.06.25	São José Porto Alegre U20 - Grêmio U20	0:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
28.05.25	Grêmio U20 - Atletico GO U20	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Gaucho U20
24.05.25	Grêmio U20 - APAFUT U20	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
14.08.24	Bahia U20 - Grêmio U20	0:2
Copa do Brasil U20
08.10.23	Bahia U20 - Grêmio U20	2:3
01.10.23	Grêmio U20 - Bahia U20	3:2
Brasileiro U20
04.05.23	Bahia U20 - Grêmio U20	2:3
08.08.21	Bahia U20 - Grêmio U20	2:2
18.10.20	Grêmio U20 - Bahia U20	1:1
25.07.19	Grêmio U20 - Bahia U20	1:2

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