The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cruzeiro U20 63.9%
Draw 21%
Grêmio U20 15.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60%
22.2%
17.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59%
21.8%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Grêmio U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro U20 than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio U20 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Cruzeiro U20 - Grêmio U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Rhuan Gabriel ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Pablo Santos ⚽,
36', 3 - 0, Lelis R. ⚽,
42', 4 - 0, Rhuan Gabriel ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 4 - 1, Harlley ⚽,
86', 4 - 2, Ferraz V. ⚽,
90+3', 5 - 2, Andre ⚽,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro U20 won 4.
Recent performances by Cruzeiro U20 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Grêmio U20 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Cruzeiro U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Cruzeiro U20 is the obvious favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro U20 won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 2.6:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro U20 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 3.5:1.5).