Match Info

Paulista U20 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday


	Santos U20		Palmeiras U20

	1	X	2
	4.59	2.78	1.89
	3.21	3.35	2.07	Watch
	2.89	3.48	2.15
	3.25	3.35	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.25)	3.24 ↓ (3.45)	2.04 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos U20
26.4%

Draw
28.4%

Palmeiras U20
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

26.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

24.9%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Palmeiras U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Santos U20 aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras U20 than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Santos U20 - Palmeiras U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, ⚽,
26', 1 - 2, ⚽,
40', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos U20 won 0.

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

Palmeiras U20 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Santos U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.9:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
10.10.25	EC São Bernardo U20 - Santos U20	0:3 ✺
04.10.25	Santos U20 - EC São Bernardo U20	4:1 ✺
26.09.25	Santos U20 - Corinthians U20	3:1 ✺
19.09.25	Corinthians U20 - Santos U20	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Santos U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWTW
- Palmeiras U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
12.10.25	Palmeiras U20 - Botafogo SP U20	3:1 ✺
03.10.25	Botafogo SP U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	Palmeiras U20 - Referência U20	3:0 ✺
19.09.25	Referência U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Palmeiras U20 - Sertãozinho U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
03.04.25	Santos U20 - Palmeiras U20	2:2
28.08.24	Palmeiras U20 - Santos U20	3:0
04.07.24	Palmeiras U20 - Santos U20	1:0
08.04.23	Palmeiras U20 - Santos U20	4:1
Brazilian Copinha
25.01.22	Santos U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:4
Brasileiro U20
05.07.21	Palmeiras U20 - Santos U20	2:1
06.12.20	Santos U20 - Palmeiras U20	2:0

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