Match Info

ETHIOPIA: Premier League - Round 19

Date: 22 April 2024, Monday


	Bahir Dar Kenema		Wolkite Kenema

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.6	6.5
	1.46	3.68	7.12
	1.46	3.7	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.41)	3.66 ↓ (3.8)	6.81 ↓ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahir Dar Kenema
62%

Draw
24.7%

Wolkite Kenema
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

23.9%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

22.3%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahir Dar Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Wolkite Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bahir Dar Kenema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolkite Kenema than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Saido P. (G) 27. Agegnehu M. 22. Fithalew F. 17. Gugsa C. 4. Kassa F. 13. Mengistu F. 10. Solomon F. 25. Taddese H. 8. Tesfaye Y. (C) 12. Tigabu B. 11. Tilahun F.	22. Alewi F. (G) 16. Bejrond T. 17. Belayneh A. 6. Demssie D. 5. Hailemariam G. 3. Isaias H. 15. Melaku T. 20. Mesfin M. 25. Paulus M. 49. Teklu M. 8. Tilahun S. (C)
Substitutes
29. Abera T. 21. Alemu F. 5. Animut G. 9. Belete W. 20. Fino A. 30. Markos A. (G) 19. Mequanint Y. (G) 15. Miftah R. 31. Sale A. 3. Siahoune A. 18. Tegegn S. 14. Yemata Y.	28. Abdella F. 24. Adams W. 30. Ayano M. (G) 7. Bekalu G. 23. Faisal A. 29. Garen A. 19. Kemal J. 11. Mebrate G. 21. Mekecha D. 12. Nassir M. 26. Tamre Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 1 - 0, Gugsa C. (Pen),
81', 1 - 1, Abdella F. ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,
90+8', 2 - 1, Gugsa C. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bahir Dar won 2.

Bahir Dar is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wolkite Kenema is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bahir Dar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bahir Dar is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Bahir Dar won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Bahir Dar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahir Dar Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League
18.04.24	Bahir Dar Kenema - Hadiya Hossana	0:0 ✺
12.04.24	Bahir Dar Kenema - Saint George	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Bahir Dar Kenema - Shashemene Kenema	1:0 ✺
14.03.24	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopia Bunna	3:1 ✺
07.03.24	Defence Force - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TTWWW
- Wolkite Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League
18.04.24	Wolkite Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin	0:3 ✺
13.04.24	Wolkite Kenema - Shashemene Kenema	0:0 ✺
04.04.24	Wolkite Kenema - Welayta Dicha	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Wolkite Kenema - Hadiya Hossana	0:0 ✺
08.03.24	Sidama Coffee - Wolkite Kenema	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
26.10.23	Wolkite Kenema - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:3
04.04.23	Wolkite Kenema - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:4
05.10.22	Bahir Dar Kenema - Wolkite Kenema	0:1
14.04.22	Wolkite Kenema - Bahir Dar Kenema	2:2
30.10.21	Bahir Dar Kenema - Wolkite Kenema	1:1
09.04.21	Bahir Dar Kenema - Wolkite Kenema	2:0
30.12.20	Wolkite Kenema - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:0

Bahir Dar Kenema - Wolkite Kenema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide