Match Info

ETHIOPIA: Premier League - Round 20

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Bahir Dar Kenema		Shashemene Kenema

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.4	5.25
	1.54	3.66	6
	1.55	3.66	6
	1.55	3.6	5.76
	1.61	3.45	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.68)	3.55 ↑ (3.4)	5.64 ↑ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahir Dar Kenema
58.2%

Draw
25.6%

Shashemene Kenema
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

26.7%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

26.1%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahir Dar Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Shashemene Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shashemene Kenema than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Bahir Dar Kenema - Shashemene Kenema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Saido P. (G) 27. Agegnehu M. 16. Baye Y. (C) 17. Gugsa C. 4. Kassa F. 13. Mengistu F. 10. Solomon F. 25. Taddese H. 8. Tesfaye Y. 12. Tigabu B. 11. Tilahun F.	30. Saidi K. (G) 6. Burka W. 19. Desalegn G. 27. Dilbi H. 16. Eyob G. 2. Kassim A. 17. Mamuye G. 15. Mulugeta Y. 22. Nassir A. 20. Nigussie H. (C) 12. Wero A.
Substitutes
29. Abera T. 21. Alemu F. 9. Belete W. 20. Fino A. 22. Fithalew F. 26. Kassim M. 30. Markos A. (G) 19. Mequanint Y. (G) 15. Miftah R. 31. Sale A. 3. Siahoune A. 18. Tegegn S.	21. Bedane R. 1. Jarso A. (G) 4. Kedir I. 44. Mamo A. (G) 14. Menberu C. 9. Mengistu S. 18. Muluwork S. 25. Nebi A. 8. Tesfaye G. 7. Tiruneh A. 5. Woldegiorgis M. 3. Yarfo Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Gugsa C. ⚽,
41', Tesfaye Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
71', Taddese H. ↓, Kassim M. ↑,
85', Tilahun F. ↓, Abera T. ↑,
85', Tesfaye Y. ↓, Fino A. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Bahir Dar is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shashemene Kenema is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bahir Dar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bahir Dar is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bahir Dar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahir Dar Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League
14.03.24	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopia Bunna	3:1 ✺
07.03.24	Defence Force - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:1 ✺
29.02.24	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:1 ✺
09.02.24	Hadiya Hossana - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWTWL
- Shashemene Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League
31.03.24	Sidama Coffee - Shashemene Kenema	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Shashemene Kenema - Saint George	0:2 ✺
07.03.24	Hawassa City - Shashemene Kenema	3:1 ✺
02.03.24	Welayta Dicha - Shashemene Kenema	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Shashemene Kenema - Defence Force	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
04.01.24	Shashemene Kenema - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0

Bahir Dar Kenema - Shashemene Kenema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide