Match Info

ETHIOPIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 17

Date: 7 March 2024, Thursday


	Defence Force		Bahir Dar Kenema

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.9	2.7
	2.38	3.05	2.82
	2.39	3.05	2.69
	2.4	2.97	2.92
	2.39	3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (1.79)	2.99 ↓ (3.3)	2.8 ↓ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defence Force
37.6%

Draw
30.1%

Bahir Dar Kenema
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

27.7%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

27.1%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defence Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defence Force's form might have worsened.

Bahir Dar Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bahir Dar Kenema's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defence Force than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defence Force, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bahir Dar Kenema, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Defence Force - Bahir Dar Kenema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alionzi N. (G) 10. Alemu F. 18. Bekele S. 20. Girma B. 6. Hagos G. 34. Hailu N. 11. Mamo D. 8. Markneh C. 13. Negsh A. 15. Tamene A. 14. Wondimu M. (C)	1. Ndiaye P. (G) 27. Agegnehu M. 16. Baye Y. (C) 17. Gugsa C. 4. Kassa F. 26. Kassim M. 13. Mengistu F. 10. Solomon F. 25. Taddese H. 8. Tesfaye Y. 12. Tigabu B.
Substitutes
23. Adane M. 21. Alebachew T. 5. Badu S. 22. Chilio W. (G) 12. Dawiti Y. 7. Desta B. 19. Disasa G. 29. Kebede Y. 26. Mohammed I. 28. NNamdi C. 9. Saliso S. 31. Sitotaw A. (G)	29. Abera T. 21. Alemu F. 23. Azene A. 9. Belete W. 20. Fino A. 22. Fithalew F. 30. Markos A. (G) 19. Mequanint Y. (G) 15. Miftah R. 31. Sale A. 3. Siahoune A. 18. Tegegn S.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 6).

Recent matches Defence Force is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bahir Dar is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Defence Force have a series of home games.

In this match Defence Force is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Defence Force won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Defence Force won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defence Force SC
Ethiopian Premier League
01.03.24	Defence Force - Hadiya Hossana	2:3 ✺
17.02.24	Shashemene Kenema - Defence Force	0:1 ✺
08.02.24	Defence Force - Ethiopia Bunna	0:4 ✺
03.02.24	Defence Force - Sidama Coffee	2:1 ✺
25.01.24	Defence Force - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWT
- Bahir Dar Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League
29.02.24	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Welayta Dicha - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:1 ✺
09.02.24	Hadiya Hossana - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Bahir Dar Kenema - Adama City	1:2 ✺
26.01.24	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
15.10.23	Bahir Dar Kenema - Defence Force	2:1
04.06.23	Defence Force - Bahir Dar Kenema	2:3
19.12.22	Bahir Dar Kenema - Defence Force	2:3
24.04.22	Defence Force - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:1
29.11.21	Bahir Dar Kenema - Defence Force	0:2

Defence Force - Bahir Dar Kenema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide