Match Info

ETHIOPIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 18

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Wolkite Kenema		Hadiya Hossana

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.45	2.85
	3.07	2.21	3.24
	3.07	2.21	3.24
	2.79	2.4	3.03
	2.9	2.45	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (3.31)	2.34 ↓ (2.71)	3.05 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolkite Kenema
31.3%

Draw
38.9%

Hadiya Hossana
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

33.6%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

32.8%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolkite Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Hadiya Hossana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hadiya Hossana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolkite Kenema than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hadiya Hossana than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hadiya Hossana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Alewi F. (G) 28. Abdella F. 16. Bejrond T. 6. Demssie D. 11. Gadisa M. 5. Hailemariam G. 3. Isaias H. 15. Melaku T. 20. Mesfin M. (C) 25. Paulus M. 49. Teklu M.	22. Tape E. I. (G) 17. Arficho H. (C) 8. Bekele G. 7. Birhanu T. 16. Biruk M. 14. Haftey S. 12. Hottesa D. 24. Koulibaly K. 19. Nigussie D. 35. Taffese T. 4. Woldeyohannes B.
Substitutes
29. Al Hashim G. 30. Ayano M. (G) 26. Dagne T. 31. Daniel S. 23. Faisal A. 19. Kemal J. 10. Lokk R. 14. Maereg W. 21. Mekecha D. 12. Nassir M. 47. Tekle A. 8. Tilahun S.	18. Abayneh E. 29. Adongo R. 47. Aklilu M. 44. Bekele Y. (G) 27. Beyene B. 13. Beyene K. 28. Gizawe T. 21. Sheferaw S. 9. Solomon Y. 15. Tsegaye A. 26. Wamisho D. 5. Wubishet K.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wolkite Kenema won 0.

Wolkite Kenema is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hadiya Hossana is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wolkite Kenema could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hadiya Hossana will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Wolkite Kenema won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Wolkite Kenema won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolkite Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League
08.03.24	Sidama Coffee - Wolkite Kenema	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Wolkite Kenema - Saint George	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Dire Dawa City - Wolkite Kenema	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Ethiopian Medhin - Wolkite Kenema	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Wolkite Kenema - Hawassa City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLTL
- Hadiya Hossana
Ethiopian Premier League
10.03.24	Hadiya Hossana - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:0 ✺
01.03.24	Defence Force - Hadiya Hossana	2:3 ✺
18.02.24	Hawassa City - Hadiya Hossana	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Hadiya Hossana - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:0 ✺
02.02.24	Hadiya Hossana - Dire Dawa City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
20.10.23	Hadiya Hossana - Wolkite Kenema	0:0
15.05.23	Hadiya Hossana - Wolkite Kenema	0:0
24.11.22	Wolkite Kenema - Hadiya Hossana	0:0
23.05.22	Hadiya Hossana - Wolkite Kenema	1:1
29.01.22	Wolkite Kenema - Hadiya Hossana	2:2
17.04.21	Hadiya Hossana - Wolkite Kenema	2:0
07.01.21	Wolkite Kenema - Hadiya Hossana	1:1

Wolkite Kenema - Hadiya Hossana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide