Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 20

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Bahlinger		Homburg

	1	X	2
	4.35	4.05	1.62
	5.38	4.43	1.51
	4.45	4.18	1.6
	4.57	4	1.58
	5.33	4.25	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.82 ↑ (4.63)	4.18 ↑ (3.7)	1.57 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahlinger
19.1%

Draw
22%

Homburg
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

24.6%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

23.5%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahlinger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Homburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahlinger than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Bahlinger - Homburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Qenaj A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 0 - 2, Baum F. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahlinger won 2.

Bahlinger is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Homburg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Homburg is the team to beat.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Bahlinger won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bahlinger won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahlinger SC
German Regionalliga Sudwest
29.11.25	Bahlinger - Schott Mainz	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Kickers Offenbach - Bahlinger	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Bahlinger - TSV Steinbach Haiger	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Eintracht Trier - Bahlinger	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Bahlinger - Balingen	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLLW
- FC 08 Homburg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
30.11.25	Homburg - Freiburg II	4:1 ✺
22.11.25	Hessen Kassel - Homburg	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Homburg - Sandhausen	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Bayern Alzenau - Homburg	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Homburg - Stuttgarter Kickers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
20.08.25	Homburg - Bahlinger	6:0
10.05.25	Homburg - Bahlinger	0:1
09.11.24	Bahlinger - Homburg	0:0
09.03.24	Homburg - Bahlinger	0:2
02.09.23	Bahlinger - Homburg	0:1
05.05.23	Homburg - Bahlinger	2:2
29.10.22	Bahlinger - Homburg	0:1

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