Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Bahlinger		Mainz II

	1	X	2
	3.3	4.25	1.8
	3.11	4.09	1.99
	3.49	3.94	1.79
	3.3	4.2	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↓ (3.86)	4.12 ↓ (4.13)	1.85 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahlinger
27.9%

Draw
22.3%

Mainz II
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

22.2%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

21.6%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahlinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Mainz II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahlinger than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz II than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mainz II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bahlinger - Mainz II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 0 - 1, Malli Y. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 1, Rienhardt M. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahlinger won 3.

Recent form of Bahlinger has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mainz II is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bahlinger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mainz II is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bahlinger won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bahlinger won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahlinger SC
German Regionalliga Sudwest
01.10.25	Hessen Kassel - Bahlinger	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Bahlinger - Astoria Walldorf	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Bahlinger - FSV Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Freiberg - Bahlinger	5:0 ✺
06.09.25	Bahlinger - Sandhausen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TTTLL
- Mainz II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
30.09.25	Mainz II - Eintracht Trier	3:2 ✺
26.09.25	Schott Mainz - Mainz II	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Mainz II - Homburg	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Bayern Alzenau - Mainz II	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Mainz II - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
19.04.25	Bahlinger - Mainz II	4:3
20.10.24	Mainz II - Bahlinger	3:1
Club Friendly
19.07.24	Mainz II - Bahlinger	1:4
German Regionalliga Sudwest
02.04.24	Mainz II - Bahlinger	2:0
30.09.23	Bahlinger - Mainz II	2:1
04.03.23	Bahlinger - Mainz II	1:1
28.08.22	Mainz II - Bahlinger	2:1

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