Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 24

Date: 4 June 2026, Thursday


	Bakaridjan		Stade Malien

	1	X	2
	3.90	2.75	1.98
	3.80	2.85	1.97	Watch
	3.62	2.95	2.02
	3.79	2.96	2.06	Watch
	3.75	2.70	2.05
	4.20	2.90	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↓ (4.43)	2.85 ↓ (2.97)	2 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bakaridjan
23.4%

Draw
31.6%

Stade Malien
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

31%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

30.5%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bakaridjan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Stade Malien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakaridjan than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (+4%)

Bakaridjan - Stade Malien Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 4).

Bakaridjan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stade Malien is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bakaridjan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stade Malien is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bakaridjan won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Stade Malien	26	14	8	4	28:15	13	50
10	Bakaridjan	26	6	9	11	20:27	-7	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bakaridjan
Malian Première Division
31.05.26	Bougouba - Bakaridjan	1:1 ✺
25.05.26	Bakaridjan - Djoliba	0:3 ✺
19.05.26	Afrique Football Elite - Bakaridjan	0:3 ✺
13.05.26	Bakaridjan - Korofina	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	Real Bamako - Bakaridjan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLWLT
- Stade Malien
Malian Première Division
31.05.26	Stade Malien - USFAS Bamako	2:2 ✺
24.05.26	Mali Coura - Stade Malien	1:1 ✺
21.05.26	Stade Malien - Bougouni	3:0 ✺
10.05.26	Onze Créateurs - Stade Malien	1:2 ✺
Coupe du Mali
07.05.26	Stade Malien - AS Sofa	9:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
22.02.26	Stade Malien - Bakaridjan	0:0
02.02.25	Stade Malien - Bakaridjan	1:1
21.01.24	Stade Malien - Bakaridjan	0:2
26.12.21	Stade Malien - Bakaridjan	0:1

Bakaridjan - Stade Malien: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide