Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 23

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday


	Bougouba		Bakaridjan

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.78	2.38	Watch
	2.96	2.83	2.31
	3.18	2.78	2.42	Watch
	3	2.63	2.38
	3.09	2.83	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.62)	2.77 ↑ (2.72)	2.37 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bougouba
29.5%

Draw
32.5%

Bakaridjan
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bougouba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Bakaridjan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bakaridjan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bougouba than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakaridjan than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Bougouba - Bakaridjan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 10).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bougouba won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bougouba won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Bougouba	26	8	7	11	21:34	-13	31
10	Bakaridjan	26	6	9	11	20:27	-7	27

Last Results with these Odds

Bakaridjan - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 32.91%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Bougouba
Malian Première Division
25.05.26	USFAS Bamako - Bougouba	0:2 ✺
19.05.26	Bougouba - Mali Coura	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Bougouba - Onze Créateurs	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Stade Malien - Bougouba	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Derby Académie - Bougouba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTLLL
- AS Bakaridjan
Malian Première Division
25.05.26	Bakaridjan - Djoliba	0:3 ✺
19.05.26	Afrique Football Elite - Bakaridjan	0:3 ✺
13.05.26	Bakaridjan - Korofina	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	Real Bamako - Bakaridjan	1:1 ✺
16.04.26	Bakaridjan - Diarra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
20.01.26	Bakaridjan - Bougouba	1:1
18.02.25	Bougouba - Bakaridjan	3:1
20.04.24	Bakaridjan - Bougouba	2:0
10.12.23	Bougouba - Bakaridjan	0:0
20.11.21	Bougouba - Bakaridjan	2:2

Bougouba - Bakaridjan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide