Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 29

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Bala Azul		Real Murcia B

	1	X	2
	2.52	3	2.62
	2.51	3.18	2.64
	1.31	4.58	10.15	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.63
	2.41	3.56	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.49)	3.44 ↑ (3.12)	4.14 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bala Azul
45.5%

Draw
29.7%

Real Murcia B
24.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.1%

28.8%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

29.2%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bala Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bala Azul's performance.

Real Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Murcia B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bala Azul than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bala Azul that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia B than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Murcia B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bala Azul - Real Murcia B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Ferni ⚽,
71', 2 - 0, Ferni ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bala Azul won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bala Azul won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bala Azul won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Bala Azul	7	2	3	2	8:8	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Bala Azul
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
28.03.26	Yeclano B - Bala Azul	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Bala Azul - Minerva	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Pulpileño - Bala Azul	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Bala Azul - Águilas B	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	UCAM Murcia B - Bala Azul	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTTTT
- Real Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
28.03.26	Real Murcia B - Olímpico de Totana	2:4 ✺
22.03.26	Cartagena B - Real Murcia B	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Águilas B - Real Murcia B	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Real Murcia B - Muleño	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Real Murcia B - Yeclano B	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
23.11.25	Real Murcia B - Bala Azul	1:1
13.04.25	Real Murcia B - Bala Azul	1:1
01.12.24	Bala Azul - Real Murcia B	1:0
30.01.22	Real Murcia B - Bala Azul	5:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
06.05.18	Real Murcia B - Bala Azul	5:2
08.12.17	Bala Azul - Real Murcia B	1:3

Bala Azul - Real Murcia B