Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Cartagena B		Real Murcia B

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.25	2.32
	2.87	3.04	2.47
	2.76	3.27	2.42	Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.45
	2.85	2.97	2.41
	2.5	3.1	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.5)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	2.38 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena B
32.9%

Draw
29.3%

Real Murcia B
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

27.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

26.2%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Real Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena B than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia B than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Cartagena B - Real Murcia B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 🟥,
67', 🟥,
77', 0 - 1, ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartagena B won 2.

Cartagena B has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Murcia B is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Murcia B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cartagena B won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cartagena B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	FC Cartagena SAD B	5	1	2	2	6:8	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cartagena B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
14.03.26	Yeclano B - Cartagena B	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Cartagena B - Minerva	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Pulpileño - Cartagena B	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Cartagena B - Águilas B	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	UCAM Murcia B - Cartagena B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL
- Real Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
18.03.26	Águilas B - Real Murcia B	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Real Murcia B - Muleño	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Real Murcia B - Yeclano B	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Minerva - Real Murcia B	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Real Murcia B - Pulpileño	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
09.11.25	Real Murcia B - Cartagena B	2:1
12.01.25	Cartagena B - Real Murcia B	1:1
01.05.22	Real Murcia B - Cartagena B	3:2
19.12.21	Cartagena B - Real Murcia B	3:2
19.04.21	Cartagena B - Real Murcia B	2:0
15.12.19	Real Murcia B - Cartagena B	1:1
06.01.19	Cartagena B - Real Murcia B	0:2

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