Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 22

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	Águilas B		Real Murcia B

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.15	2.05
	3.53	3.14	2.07
	3.41	3.23	2.07	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.05
	3.42	3.42	2.07
	3	3.1	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (4.1)	3.19 ↑ (3.15)	2.09 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águilas B
27.6%

Draw
28.7%

Real Murcia B
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

29%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

28.8%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águilas B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Águilas B's performance.

Real Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Murcia B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas B than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Águilas B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia B than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Murcia B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Águilas B - Real Murcia B Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Águilas B (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Águilas B (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Cobo M. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Santos M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 3 - 0, Hernandez F. ⚽,
60', 4 - 0, Lukitas ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Murcia B is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Águilas B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Águilas B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Aguilas FC B	5	0	5	0	5:5	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águilas FC B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
14.03.26	Águilas B - Cieza	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Bala Azul - Águilas B	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Águilas B - Olímpico de Totana	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Cartagena B - Águilas B	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Yeclano B - Águilas B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WTTLW
- Real Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
14.03.26	Real Murcia B - Muleño	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Real Murcia B - Yeclano B	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Minerva - Real Murcia B	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Real Murcia B - Pulpileño	3:2 ✺
08.02.26	Real Murcia B - UCAM Murcia B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
05.10.25	Real Murcia B - Águilas B	2:1
16.02.25	Real Murcia B - Águilas B	0:1
05.10.24	Águilas B - Real Murcia B	1:0

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