The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bali United Pusam 70.9%
Draw 18.1%
PSBS Biak Numfor 11%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.9%
21.5%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.6%
16.7%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bali United Pusam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bali United Pusam's performance.
PSBS Biak Numfor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PSBS Biak Numfor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bali United Pusam than the current prediction. (-24.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bali United Pusam that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSBS Biak Numfor than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PSBS Biak Numfor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Bali United Pusam - PSBS Biak Numfor Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Bali United will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hauptmeijer M. (G) 2. Ferrari J. 4. Arel K. 5. Adi B. 24. Fajrin R. (C) 7. Goppel T. 14. Receveur T. 17. Yachida T. 91. Rahmat 99. Campos D. 47. Arjuna R.
41. Kadu (G) 27. Putra Y. 6. Embalo S. (C) 78. Ardiansyah H. 33. Pablo Andrade 94. Susanto H. 20. Barbosa E. 90. Alom N. 46. Solossa T. 9. Hassan M. 7. Blanco R.
Substitutes
33. Andhika M. 92. Barusu R. 8. Bruijn J. 41. Jaya I. 9. Kopitovic B. 55. Made T. 77. Meilana Y. 19. Raven J. 16. Rizky Dwi 95. Rustapa F. (G) 42. Simon M. 31. Yusron D. (G)
15. Agung A. 26. Brown G. 92. Galih D. (G) 44. Madjar M. 32. Rumere P. 77. Siregar R. 13. Urbanus L.
Coaches
Jansen J.
Mihail M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
26', Adi B. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Hassan M. (Penalty Awarded),
37', 1 - 1, Yachida T. ⚽, Campos D. (A),
40', 2 - 1, Ferrari J. ⚽, Campos D. (A),
45+2', Ardiansyah H. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Solossa T. ↓, Siregar R. ↑,
48', 3 - 1, Ferrari J. ⚽, Yachida T. (A),
53', Receveur T. 🟨,
63', 4 - 1, Campos D. ⚽, Arjuna R. (A),
64', Campos D. ↓, Kopitovic B. ↑,
65', Arel K. ↓, Jaya I. ↑,
65', Rahmat ↓, Made T. ↑,
66', Susanto H. ↓, Brown G. ↑,
72', Hassan M. ↓, Rumere P. ↑,
77', Receveur T. ↓, Bruijn J. ↑,
81', 5 - 1, Bruijn J. ⚽, Jaya I. (A),
83', Arjuna R. ↓, Simon M. ↑,
86', Putra Y. ↓, Urbanus L. ↑,
90+2', 6 - 1, Kopitovic B. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Bali United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
PSBS Biak is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Bali United is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bali United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Bali United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Indonesia
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Hauptmeijer M. (G) 
Ferrari J. 
Arel K. 
Yachida T. 
Campos D. 
Kadu (G) 
Embalo S. (C) 
Hassan M. 
Blanco R. 
Kopitovic B. 
Mihail M. 
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