Match Info

Date: 3 April 2022, Sunday


	Balikesirspor		Erzurumspor

	1	X	2
	6	4	1.44	Watch
	6.5	4.1	1.46
	6.4	3.75	1.43	Watch
	6.4	3.95	1.42
	8.1	4.24	1.45
	7	3.75	1.42
	7.1	4.05	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.79 ↑ (5.98)	3.98 ↑ (3.73)	1.44 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balikesirspor
13.5%

Draw
23%

Erzurumspor
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

24.9%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

23.5%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balikesirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balikesirspor than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Erzurumspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Balikesirspor - Erzurumspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs)).

Balikesirspor has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Erzurum BB is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Erzurum BB could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Erzurum BB is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Balikesirspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Balikesirspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balikesirspor
Turkish First League
20.03.22	Bursaspor - Balikesirspor	2:1 ✺
07.03.22	Balikesirspor - Denizlispor	0:1 ✺
26.02.22	Gençlerbirliği - Balikesirspor	2:0 ✺
20.02.22	Balikesirspor - İstanbulspor	1:3 ✺
16.02.22	Keçiörengücü - Balikesirspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
19.03.22	Erzurumspor - Samsunspor	1:2 ✺
05.03.22	Altınordu - Erzurumspor	1:0 ✺
27.02.22	Erzurumspor - Ankaragücü	0:1 ✺
21.02.22	Adanaspor - Erzurumspor	1:1 ✺
17.02.22	Erzurumspor - Eyüpspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
31.10.21	Erzurumspor - Balikesirspor	2:1
26.01.20	Erzurumspor - Balikesirspor	1:0
24.08.19	Balikesirspor - Erzurumspor	2:1
26.01.18	Balikesirspor - Erzurumspor	2:0
19.08.17	Erzurumspor - Balikesirspor	4:3

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