Match Info

1. Lig - Round 34

Date: 14 April 2025, Monday

Location: Yeni Adana Stadyumu (Adana)

Referee: Sen A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Adanaspor		Erzurumspor

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.33	1.38	Watch
	5.5	4	1.46
	9.5	4.5	1.3	Watch
	7.45	4.38	1.42	Watch
	6	4	1.44
	7.9	4.4	1.37
	9.5	4.5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.44 ↑ (5.28)	4.3 ↑ (4.03)	1.38 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adanaspor
12.3%

Draw
21.3%

Erzurumspor
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

23.2%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

22.5%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adanaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adanaspor's form might have worsened.

Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Erzurumspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adanaspor than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Erzurumspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	6.2%	68.7%

Adanaspor - Erzurumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Adanaspor will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Erzurumspor will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Erzurumspor: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Adanaspor (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Erzurumspor (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Adanaspor (1.79) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -3.5 - Erzurumspor (8.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Adanaspor (2.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Adanaspor (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Erzurumspor (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:6

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Aslan N. (G) 77. Koc S. 22. Kurucuk F. 12. Donkor I. 99. Matur O. 97. Durmaz E. 5. Hatipoglu H. (C) 9. Candeias D. 21. Ivan A. 10. Cekici E. 16. Cikalleshi S.	16. Dadakdeniz A. (G) 53. Ovacikli O. 22. Yumlu M. 2. Akbas M. 21. Roshi O. 24. Crociata G. 3. Kirtay Y. 15. Giorbelidze G. 91. Teklic T. 29. Sylla C. 10. Tozlu E.
Substitutes
23. Alpsoy H. 17. Altunbas M. 4. Aytekin H. 35. Can Esendemir Y. 25. Celik M. (G) 11. Cinar O. 7. Emeksiz D. 64. Guzelbay C. 19. Midilic Y. 26. Yildirim M.	4. Akkan G. 1. Bakirbas G. (G) 42. Kara O. 9. Kilinc K. 11. Mamba S. 20. Ozhan F. 17. Sarikaya S. 7. Sever I. 88. Tasev T. 6. Tas M.
Coaches
Keles H.	Kutlu H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Teklic T. ⚽,
25', Kirtay Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kurucuk F. ↓, Guzelbay C. ↑,
46', Cikalleshi S. ↓, Altunbas M. ↑,
57', Roshi O. 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Tozlu E. ⚽, Sylla C. (A),
62', Cekici E. ↓, Midilic Y. ↑,
64', Hatipoglu H. ↓, Alpsoy H. ↑,
70', Durmaz E. ↓, Cinar O. ↑,
81', Matur O. 🟥,
82', Giorbelidze G. ↓, Akkan G. ↑,
85', Roshi O. ↓, Ozhan F. ↑,
86', 0 - 3, Tozlu E. ⚽, Teklic T. (A),
88', Koc S. 🟨,
90+1', Teklic T. ↓, Sever I. ↑,
90+1', Tozlu E. ↓, Kilinc K. ↑,
90+2', Crociata G. ↓, Sarikaya S. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Adanaspor won 1.

Adanaspor has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Erzurumspor is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Erzurumspor is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Adanaspor: Diakite C. (Inactive) Fofana A. (Inactive) Matur O. (Yellow Cards) Yepie Yepie S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Erzurumspor: Akgun S. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Erzurumspor to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Adanaspor won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12:16 (average 1.1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Adanaspor won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adanaspor
Turkish First League
10.04.25	Adanaspor - Kocaelispor	1:4 ✺
05.04.25	Sakaryaspor - Adanaspor	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Adanaspor - İstanbulspor	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Bandırmaspor - Adanaspor	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Adanaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
09.04.25	Erzurumspor - Çorum	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erzurumspor	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Erzurumspor - Manisa FK	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Amed SK - Erzurumspor	1:2 ✺
10.03.25	Keçiörengücü - Erzurumspor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
07.12.24	Erzurumspor - Adanaspor	1:0
18.02.24	Erzurumspor - Adanaspor	1:0
24.09.23	Adanaspor - Erzurumspor	1:0
12.11.22	Erzurumspor - Adanaspor	3:2
21.02.22	Adanaspor - Erzurumspor	1:1
25.09.21	Erzurumspor - Adanaspor	3:1
17.02.20	Adanaspor - Erzurumspor	0:0

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