Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday


	Balikesirspor		Umraniyespor

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.5	Watch
	6	4.1	1.49
	5.1	3.85	1.5	Watch
	5.6	3.95	1.48
	6	4.6	1.5
	5.8	3.75	1.5
	6.15	4.2	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.66 ↓ (5.86)	4.06 ↓ (4.08)	1.49 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balikesirspor
16.2%

Draw
22.5%

Umraniyespor
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

22.9%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.2%

19%

73.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balikesirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Balikesirspor than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Umraniyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Balikesirspor - Umraniyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs)).

Balikesirspor has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Umraniyespor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Balikesirspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Umraniyespor is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Balikesirspor won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Balikesirspor won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balikesirspor
Turkish First League
06.12.21	Ankaragücü - Balikesirspor	2:0 ✺
26.11.21	Balikesirspor - Manisa FK	0:0 ✺
20.11.21	Menemenspor - Balikesirspor	2:1 ✺
07.11.21	Balikesirspor - Adanaspor	1:2 ✺
31.10.21	Erzurumspor - Balikesirspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLL
- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
05.12.21	Umraniyespor - Boluspor	1:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
02.12.21	Umraniyespor - Arnavutköy	3:2 ✺
Turkish First League
28.11.21	Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor	3:2 ✺
06.11.21	Ankaragücü - Umraniyespor	3:0 ✺
31.10.21	Umraniyespor - Tuzlaspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
20.03.21	Umraniyespor - Balikesirspor	1:2
23.11.20	Balikesirspor - Umraniyespor	1:1
09.02.20	Umraniyespor - Balikesirspor	0:3
13.09.19	Balikesirspor - Umraniyespor	2:0
16.02.19	Umraniyespor - Balikesirspor	2:0
28.11.18	Balikesirspor - Umraniyespor	0:1
22.04.18	Balikesirspor - Umraniyespor	1:1

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