Match Info

Date: 20 May 2022, Friday


	Balkan		AFC Malmö

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.2	1.5
	4.8	4.2	1.47
	4.76	4.87	1.51
	4.5	4.2	1.53
	5.35	4.45	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↑ (3.28)	4.38 ↑ (3.74)	1.5 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balkan
18.8%

Draw
20.7%

AFC Malmö
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

24.4%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

24.5%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balkan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Balkan's form might have worsened.

AFC Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Malmö's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balkan than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Balkan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Malmö, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Balkan - AFC Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Balkan will win (votes: 4 - 50%). AFC Malmö will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Balkan: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 4).

Balkan is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ariana is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Balkan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ariana is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBK Balkan
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
14.05.22	Räppe GoIF - Balkan	2:0 ✺
07.05.22	Kristianstad - Balkan	2:0 ✺
30.04.22	Balkan - Karlskrona	2:2 ✺
23.04.22	Nosaby - Balkan	2:1 ✺
14.04.22	Balkan - Hässleholm	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTLT
- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
15.05.22	AFC Malmö - Karlskrona	2:2 ✺
11.05.22	Rosengård 1917 - AFC Malmö	2:1 ✺
07.05.22	Nosaby - AFC Malmö	0:2 ✺
30.04.22	AFC Malmö - Hässleholm	2:0 ✺
24.04.22	Österlen - AFC Malmö	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLWWW

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