Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Championship - Round 7

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday


	Ballyclare Comrades		Ards

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.7	2.4
	2.35	3.75	2.55
	2.35	4.05	2.55
	2.31	3.76	2.45
	2.35	3.75	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.3)	3.8 (3.8)	2.5 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballyclare Comrades
39.3%

Draw
24.1%

Ards
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

23.8%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

23.3%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ballyclare Comrades have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Ards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballyclare Comrades than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ards than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Ballyclare Comrades - Ards Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Barr Z. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Healy B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', 2 - 1, Healy B. ⚽,
70', 3 - 1, Healy B. ⚽,
84', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Last Results with these Odds

Ards - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.9%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballyclare Comrades
Northern Irish Championship
07.09.24	Institute FC - Ballyclare Comrades	1:3 ✺
27.08.24	Newington - Ballyclare Comrades	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Ballyclare Comrades - Annagh United	2:1 ✺
10.08.24	Ballinamallard United - Ballyclare Comrades	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Ballyclare Comrades - Crusaders	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLL
- Ards FC
Northern Irish Championship
07.09.24	Ards - Dundela	0:1 ✺
27.08.24	Ards - Bangor	0:4 ✺
24.08.24	Ballinamallard United - Ards	2:2 ✺
10.08.24	Limavady United - Ards	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.24	Glenavon - Ards	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
16.04.24	Ards - Ballyclare Comrades	1:2
28.11.23	Ballyclare Comrades - Ards	3:0
28.10.23	Ballyclare Comrades - Ards	6:3
22.04.23	Ballyclare Comrades - Ards	5:1
14.02.23	Ballyclare Comrades - Ards	3:2
19.11.22	Ards - Ballyclare Comrades	3:3
26.08.22	Ards - Ballyclare Comrades	2:1

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