Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 17

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Limavady United		Ards

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.05	5.5
	1.51	4.28	5.46	Watch
	1.45	4.05	6.08
	1.52	3.8	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.52)	4.05 ↑ (4.04)	5.59 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Limavady United
61.1%

Draw
22.6%

Ards
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

22.7%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

21.6%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Limavady United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Ards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Limavady United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ards than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Limavady United - Ards Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Limavady won 1.

Limavady is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ards is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Limavady is a strong favorite.

We predict that Limavady will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Limavady won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Limavady won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Limavady United
Northern Irish Championship
15.11.25	Loughgall - Limavady United	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Limavady United - Newington	3:2 ✺
01.11.25	Limavady United - Warrenpoint Town	3:3 ✺
25.10.25	Dundela - Limavady United	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Limavady United - Annagh United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWTWW
- Ards FC
Northern Irish Championship
15.11.25	Ards - Harland & Wolff Welders	1:4 ✺
08.11.25	Armagh City - Ards	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Ballinamallard United - Ards	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Ards - Institute FC	0:3 ✺
18.10.25	Queens University Belfast - Ards	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
11.10.25	Ards - Limavady United	1:4
12.04.25	Ards - Limavady United	1:1
15.02.25	Limavady United - Ards	0:1
22.11.24	Ards - Limavady United	2:0
10.08.24	Limavady United - Ards	0:3
Northern Irish League Cup
27.08.19	Limavady United - Ards	4:2

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