Match Info

Date: 19 April 2022, Tuesday


	Ballymena United		Warrenpoint Town

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	5
	1.52	3.8	5.3
	1.54	4.1	5.2
	1.57	4.22	5.71
	1.5	3.9	5.5
	1.58	4.15	5.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.33)	4.03 ↓ (4.98)	5.35 ↓ (8.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballymena United
59.8%

Draw
23%

Warrenpoint Town
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

18.8%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

18.1%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballymena United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ballymena United's form might have worsened.

Warrenpoint Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Warrenpoint Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ballymena United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrenpoint Town than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Warrenpoint Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ballymena United - Warrenpoint Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ballymena United won 3.

Recent matches Ballymena United is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Warrenpoint Town is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ballymena United is certain favorite.

Last 31 head-to-head matches Ballymena United won 18 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 60-37.

Including matches at home between the teams Ballymena United won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 29-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballymena United
Northern Irish Premiership
16.04.22	Ballymena United - Portadown	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	Glenavon - Ballymena United	3:1 ✺
25.03.22	Larne - Ballymena United	1:3 ✺
19.03.22	Ballymena United - Glentoran	1:1 ✺
15.03.22	Crusaders - Ballymena United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWTL
- Warrenpoint Town
Northern Irish Premiership
16.04.22	Warrenpoint Town - Carrick Rangers	1:2 ✺
09.04.22	Portadown - Warrenpoint Town	0:1 ✺
26.03.22	Warrenpoint Town - Linfield	1:2 ✺
22.03.22	Warrenpoint Town - Coleraine	2:5 ✺
19.03.22	Crusaders - Warrenpoint Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
22.01.22	Ballymena United - Warrenpoint Town	1:0
30.11.21	Warrenpoint Town - Ballymena United	1:2
28.08.21	Warrenpoint Town - Ballymena United	2:1
25.05.21	Ballymena United - Warrenpoint Town	3:0
20.03.21	Warrenpoint Town - Ballymena United	2:2
16.03.21	Warrenpoint Town - Ballymena United	1:1
21.11.20	Ballymena United - Warrenpoint Town	2:0

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