Match Info

Challenge League - Round 3

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Balzan		Pietà Hotspurs

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.45	3.5
	1.87	3.46	3.53
	1.87	3.5	3.59
	2	3.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.36)	3.45 ↓ (3.63)	3.41 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balzan
47.5%

Draw
26.1%

Pietà Hotspurs
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

25.7%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balzan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Balzan's performance.

Pietà Hotspurs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pietà Hotspurs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Balzan - Pietà Hotspurs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Arthur ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 1, Gabriel C. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Balzan won 4.

Balzan will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Balzan won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 2.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Balzan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balzan FC
Maltese Challenge League
20.09.25	Sirens - Balzan	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	Balzan - Gudja United	0:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
03.05.25	Balzan - Naxxar Lions	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Paola Hibernians - Balzan	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Balzan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTTT
- Pietà Hotspurs
Maltese Challenge League
21.09.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Vittoriosa Stars	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Pietà Hotspurs	3:2 ✺
Maltese Challenge Cup
27.04.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Valletta	1:0 ✺
24.04.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Pietà Hotspurs	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Marsa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
12.02.23	Balzan - Pietà Hotspurs	3:2
09.10.22	Pietà Hotspurs - Balzan	2:3
Maltese FA Trophy
09.02.22	Balzan - Pietà Hotspurs	5:1
29.02.20	Balzan - Pietà Hotspurs	0:1
Maltese Premier League
17.02.19	Pietà Hotspurs - Balzan	0:3
29.09.18	Balzan - Pietà Hotspurs	1:0
06.04.15	Pietà Hotspurs - Balzan	0:3

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