Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Play Out - Round 16

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Balzan		Naxxar Lions

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.24	3.3	2.85	Watch
	2.27	3.43	2.94
	2.23	3.47	2.84	Watch
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.25	3.26	2.88
	2.24	3.3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.07)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)	2.87 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balzan
40.5%

Draw
27.7%

Naxxar Lions
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

28.1%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27.8%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balzan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Balzan - Naxxar Lions Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Balzan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Golovic D. (G) 27. Akpan U. 23. Blasco V. 10. Busuttil J. (C) 14. Dimeji A. 6. Grima M. 11. Hili B. 77. Kamsoba E. 21. Lukovic L. 8. Pulis N. 17. Stanic H.	1. Debono M. (G) 9. Bolanos E. 10. Farias E. (C) 25. Fernando Barbosa 18. Hugo Santos 33. Joao Moura 20. Laton 23. Maicon Souza 3. Micallef N. 8. Pace Cocks N. 4. Sane B.
Substitutes
44. Bacanin M. 42. Borg W. 24. Cacciatore G. 7. Caruana T. 1. Ciappara D. (G) 19. Farrugia G. 22. Grech J. 2. Kerkez N. 18. Ndombasi Tukilonga M. 12. Vella N. (G) 9. Westendorf I.	28. Bonanno G. 17. Bonanno J. J. 22. Degabriele S. 30. Farrugia J. 12. Fenech A. (G) 21. Fenech M. 13. Haber K. 19. Hernandez A. 26. Micallef M. 7. Yamaguchi T. 44. Yasukaze I.
Coaches
Cohen A.	Vella G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hili B. ↓, Bacanin M. ↑,
51', Busuttil J. (Pen),
52', Lukovic L. 🟨,
57', 0 - 1, Maicon Souza ⚽,
65', Maicon Souza ↓, Yasukaze I. ↑,
70', Golovic D. ↓, Ciappara D. ↑,
70', Busuttil J. ↓, Westendorf I. ↑,
78', Lukovic L. ↓, Ndombasi Tukilonga M. ↑,
78', Blasco V. ↓, Grech J. ↑,
83', Farias E. ↓, Bonanno G. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Dimeji A. ⚽,
90+1', Pulis N. 🟨,
90+2', Hugo Santos ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
90+4', Debono M. 🟨,
90+5', Dimeji A. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Balzan won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Balzan will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Balzan won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:11. (average 2.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Balzan won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:8. (average 2.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balzan FC
Maltese Premier League
27.04.25	Paola Hibernians - Balzan	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Balzan	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	Balzan - Melita	3:1 ✺
04.04.25	Gżira United - Balzan	0:0 ✺
28.03.25	Gżira United - Balzan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTWTT
- Naxxar Lions
Maltese Premier League
28.04.25	Gżira United - Naxxar Lions	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Naxxar Lions - Melita	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Paola Hibernians - Naxxar Lions	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Naxxar Lions	2:0 ✺
31.03.25	Hamrun Spartans - Naxxar Lions	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
10.02.25	Naxxar Lions - Balzan	0:3
22.12.24	Balzan - Naxxar Lions	2:1
29.08.24	Balzan - Naxxar Lions	2:0
08.03.24	Naxxar Lions - Balzan	1:1
05.11.23	Balzan - Naxxar Lions	1:2
Maltese FA Trophy
20.01.18	Balzan - Naxxar Lions	2:0
Maltese Premier League
16.12.17	Naxxar Lions - Balzan	0:0

Balzan - Naxxar Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide