The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paola Hibernians 29%
Draw 25.7%
Balzan 45.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.2%
25.3%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.9%
26.2%
27.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paola Hibernians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paola Hibernians's form might have worsened.
Balzan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Balzan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (+18.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paola Hibernians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (-17.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Balzan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
1. Sanchez P. (G) 10. Degabriele J. (C) 23. Ellul M. 20. Falcone F. 8. Khevin Fraga 22. Martinis A. 99. Monteiro Ribeiro R. B. F. 44. Pedrao 5. Shaw K. 7. Villela L. 14. Xuereb D.
99. Golovic D. (G) 27. Akpan U. 5. Arab S. (C) 10. Busuttil J. 14. Dimeji A. 42. Floro R. 18. Jankovic L. 77. Kamsoba E. 21. Lukovic L. 8. Pulis N. 17. Stanic H.
Substitutes
21. Alex Bruno 4. Alfred S. 17. Chukunyere I. 24. Galea K. (G) 18. Lyon A. 9. Miullen 2. Ohaka J. 13. Portelli J. 30. Sacco H. (G) 19. Sorokin S. 29. Sultana J.
44. Bacanin M. 23. Blasco V. 9. Borg W. 24. Cacciatore G. 7. Caruana T. 1. Ciappara D. (G) 19. Farrugia G. 22. Grech J. 6. Grima M. 11. Hili B. 2. Kerkez N.
Coaches
Nisevic B.
Cohen A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Arab S. 🟨,
5', 1 - 0, Villela L. (Pen),
19', Khevin Fraga 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jankovic L. ↓, Blasco V. ↑,
59', Degabriele J. ↓, Alex Bruno ↑,
59', Falcone F. 🟨,
59', Falcone F. ↓, Miullen ↑,
60', Khevin Fraga 🟨,
60', Arab S. 🟨,
62', Villela L. 🟨,
72', Golovic D. ↓, Ciappara D. ↑,
72', Busuttil J. ↓, Bacanin M. ↑,
75', Villela L. ↓, Chukunyere I. ↑,
87', Pedrao 🟨,
89', Blasco V. (Pen),
89', 1 - 1, Kamsoba E. ⚽,
90+1', Xuereb D. 🟨,
90+1', Xuereb D. ↓, Alfred S. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hibernians won 2.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Hibernians could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Hibernians have a series of home games.
Recently Balzan have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Hibernians won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 33:20 (average 1.7:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Hibernians won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25:14 (average 1.9:1.1).
Malta
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Sanchez P. (G) 
Degabriele J. (C) 
Falcone F. 
Khevin Fraga 
Martinis A. 
Monteiro Ribeiro R. B. F. 
Golovic D. (G) 
Akpan U. 
Dimeji A. 
Kamsoba E. 
Stanic H. 
Sorokin S. 
Kerkez N. 
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