Match Info

Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 4

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Birżebbuġa St. Peters		Pietà Hotspurs

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.71	3.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 (1.93)	3.71 (3.71)	3.28 (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birżebbuġa St. Peters
47.4%

Draw
24.7%

Pietà Hotspurs
27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

23.9%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Birżebbuġa St. Peters have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Pietà Hotspurs have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birżebbuġa St. Peters than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pietà Hotspurs than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Pietà Hotspurs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)

Preview

Birżebbuġa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pietà Hotspurs's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Pietà Hotspurs has had a series of home games.

Birżebbuġa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Birżebbuġa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Including home match between the teams, Birżebbuġa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Pieta	2	1	0	1	5:5	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birżebbuġa St. Peters
Maltese Challenge League
08.03.26	Swieqi United - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Melita	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Fgura United	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Żebbuġ Rangers - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Santa Lucia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWWL
- Pietà Hotspurs
Maltese Challenge League
08.03.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Melita	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Balzan	1:3 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
25.02.26	Birkirkara - Pietà Hotspurs	2:0 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
22.02.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Swieqi United	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Żurrieq	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
13.09.25	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Pietà Hotspurs	3:2

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