Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 40

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Banbury United		Sudbury Town

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.45	5.7
	1.42	4.48	6.12
	1.45	4.68	6.07	Watch
	1.4	4.2	5.5
	1.36	4.8	6.33
	1.41	4.36	6.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.39)	4.5 ↑ (4.4)	5.97 ↓ (6.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banbury United
64.5%

Draw
20.2%

Sudbury Town
15.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.1%

20.6%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

19.9%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banbury United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Sudbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sudbury Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Banbury United - Sudbury Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Stokoe L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Flanagan J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Sudbury is Relegated to

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, Banbury is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Banbury won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Banbury won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Banbury	13	3	4	6	16:23	-7	13

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Banbury: 0.37%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Banbury United
English Southern League Central Division
06.04.26	Harborough Town - Banbury United	5:1 ✺
03.04.26	Banbury United - Royston Town	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Leiston - Banbury United	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Kettering Town - Banbury United	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Banbury United - Bishops Stortford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLTT
- Sudbury Town
English Southern League Central Division
06.04.26	Sudbury Town - Needham Market	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	Quorn - Sudbury Town	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Sudbury Town - Alvechurch	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Barwell - Sudbury Town	2:4 ✺
17.03.26	Kettering Town - Sudbury Town	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
06.09.25	Sudbury Town - Banbury United	2:1
04.01.25	Sudbury Town - Banbury United	1:2
10.08.24	Banbury United - Sudbury Town	1:1

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