Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 37

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Leiston		Banbury United

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.1	2.88
	2.34	3.13	2.96
	2.35	3.28	2.94	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.88
	2.3	3.06	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.3)	3.09 ↓ (3.1)	2.92 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
39.4%

Draw
29.4%

Banbury United
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

29.3%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

28.8%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Banbury United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Leiston - Banbury United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Mills A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Banbury may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Leiston won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Leiston won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Banbury: 0.39% Leiston: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Leiston	9	3	2	4	17:17	0	11
19	Banbury	9	1	3	5	9:16	-7	6

Last Results with these Odds

Leiston - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.46%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
21.03.26	Leiston - Worcester City	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Stamford - Leiston	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Leiston - Stratford Town	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Sudbury Town - Leiston	0:3 ✺
14.02.26	Leiston - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTWT
- Banbury United
English Southern League Central Division
24.03.26	Kettering Town - Banbury United	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Banbury United - Bishops Stortford	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Halesowen Town - Banbury United	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Quorn - Banbury United	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Banbury United - Alvechurch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
16.08.25	Banbury United - Leiston	1:1
05.04.25	Leiston - Banbury United	3:0
24.08.24	Banbury United - Leiston	1:0
12.02.22	Leiston - Banbury United	0:2
19.10.21	Banbury United - Leiston	3:2
16.11.19	Leiston - Banbury United	1:5
13.04.19	Leiston - Banbury United	0:0

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