Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 10

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Bandeirante		Rio Preto

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.78	2.45
	3.02	2.71	2.48
	3.02	2.78	2.49	Watch
	3	2.63	2.5
	3.04	2.73	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.84)	2.73 ↓ (3.01)	2.48 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bandeirante
30.2%

Draw
33.2%

Rio Preto
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

30.4%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bandeirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Rio Preto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bandeirante than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Preto than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Bandeirante - Rio Preto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Marcos Henrique ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, Johnny ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, Vinicius ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Bandeirante is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rio Preto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bandeirante won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Bandeirante won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bandeirante EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
25.02.26	União Suzano - Bandeirante	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Bandeirante - Francana	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Itapirense - Bandeirante	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Bandeirante - XV de Jaú	0:0 ✺
04.02.26	Bandeirante - União Barbarense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TWWTT
- Rio Preto EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
25.02.26	Rio Preto - Paulista	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Rio Preto - União Suzano	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Rio Claro - Rio Preto	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Rio Preto - Marília	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	EC São Bernardo - Rio Preto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
01.03.25	Rio Preto - Bandeirante	3:0
09.03.24	Bandeirante - Rio Preto	1:3

Bandeirante - Rio Preto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide