Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 9

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday


	Rio Preto		Paulista

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.98	2.82
	2.55	2.7	2.82
	2.6	2.8	2.84	Watch
	2.5	2.75	2.8
	2.55	2.76	2.79
	2.38	2.95	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.38)	2.82 ↓ (2.95)	2.81 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Preto
36.1%

Draw
31.9%

Paulista
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

30.4%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

30.3%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Preto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

The chances for Paulista have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Preto than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulista than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Rio Preto - Paulista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
84', 1 - 0, Marcos ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Preto EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
21.02.26	Rio Preto - União Suzano	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Rio Claro - Rio Preto	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Rio Preto - Marília	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	EC São Bernardo - Rio Preto	1:1 ✺
04.02.26	Rio Preto - União São João	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLTTW
- Paulista FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
20.02.26	Paulista - EC São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	XV de Jaú - Paulista	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Paulista - Desportivo Brasil	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Rio Branco de Americana - Paulista	1:0 ✺
04.02.26	Paulista - Portuguesa Santista	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWLW

Rio Preto - Paulista: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide