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Current Win Probability
Banfield 27.6%
Draw 29.5%
Argentinos Juniors 42.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
21.1%
27.2%
51.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.9%
26.9%
52.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Banfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Banfield's performance.
Argentinos Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Argentinos Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banfield than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Banfield that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Argentinos Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Banfield - Argentinos Juniors Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Banfield will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% โ 84.6%.
50. Rodriguez D. (C) 4. Alfaro J. L. 2. Daniele S. 6. Meriano N. 27. Abraham I. 10. Gomez L. 5. Esquivel S. 20. Adoryan T. 18. Medina F. 9. Balboa A. 40. Zalazar D.
25. Cortes B. (G) 17. Paredes F. 16. Alvarez F. 6. Vazquez F. 20. Prieto S. 7. Porcel D. 5. Carrizo F. 15. Gutierrez K. 11. Oroz N. (C) 9. Veron G. 27. Molina T.
Substitutes
30. Anselmo F. 19. Cano L. 28. Hernandez M. 24. Lopez S. 37. Malanca R. 13. Oviedo B. 35. Pais N. 3. Paz N. 7. Pinero L. 77. Rodriguez T. 25. Santilli G. (G) 21. Villegas L.
35. Alcaraz A. 26. Bravo C. 22. Coronel K. 10. Florentin G. 28. Gho J. 19. Gimenez M. 4. Godoy E. 32. Infantino G. 48. Jainikoski F. 8. Lopez H. 23. Mendoza M. 12. Siri Payer G. (G)
Coaches
Troglio P.
Diez N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Veron G. 🟨,
57', Molina T. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
62', Paredes F. 🟨,
66', 0 - 1, Gimenez M. ⚽, Veron G. (A),
73', Zalazar D. ↓, Pinero L. ↑,
73', Gomez L. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,
78', Alvarez F. 🟨,
79', Medina F. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
80', Alfaro J. L. ↓, Pais N. ↑,
83', Veron G. ↓, Coronel K. ↑,
86', Esquivel S. ↓, Anselmo F. ↑,
89', Carrizo F. ↓, Godoy E. ↑,
89', Porcel D. ↓, Jainikoski F. ↑,
90+2', Prieto S. 🟨,
90+3', Pais N. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 11th and 3rd in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Banfield won 0.
Banfield has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Performances by Argentinos Juniors have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Argentinos Juniors is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Banfield: Alvarez F.
(Inactive)
Arteaga M.
(Inactive)
Gomez L.
(Inactive)
Machado A.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Argentinos Juniors: Gianini S.
(Inactive)
Viveros E.
(Inactive).
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Banfield has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:29 (averaging 0.8:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Banfield against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 7:11 goals (averaging 0.8:1.2 per game).