The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Banfield 21.4%
Draw 31.9%
Argentinos Juniors 46.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.9%
30.7%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
30.7%
40.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Banfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Banfield's form might have worsened.
Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Argentinos Juniors's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banfield than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Banfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentinos Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.7%
23.1%
69.2%
Banfield - Argentinos Juniors Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Banfield will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 44.1% – 94.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sanguinetti F. (G) 4. Di Luciano R. 2. Maldonado A. (C) 40. Riveros P. 3. De Ritis M. 24. Lopez S. 5. Rio M. 8. Rios L. 19. Rios G. 28. Arturia M. 9. Sepulveda B.
50. Rodriguez D. (G) 22. Lozano L. 16. Alvarez F. 4. Godoy E. 20. Prieto S. 8. Rodriguez A. (C) 24. Fattori F. 21. Oroz N. 10. Lescano A. 11. Herrera J. 27. Molina T.
Substitutes
33. Abraham I. 20. Adoryan T. 11. Alaniz A. 17. Bisanz J. 35. Esquivel S. 29. Iribarren J. 26. Miranda L. 32. Obando A. 13. Oviedo B. 31. Pinero L. 25. Romero D. (G) 27. Vega G.
19. Bentancourt R. 5. Cardozo J. 15. Gamarra A. 25. Gomez L. 1. Mangiaut A. (G) 31. Porcel D. 2. Ramirez T. 7. Rodriguez S. 23. Santamaria T. 18. Sosa I. 6. Vega R. 29. Viveros E.
Coaches
Broggi A.
Diez N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Rodriguez D. (Own goal),
12', Di Luciano R. 🟨,
26', Godoy E. ↓, Vega R. ↑,
34', Molina T. (Pen),
37', Vega R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Fattori F. 🟨,
50', Alvarez F. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Molina T. ⚽, Rodriguez A. (A),
64', Rios L. 🟨,
66', Prieto S. ↓, Ramirez T. ↑,
66', Herrera J. ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
68', Sepulveda B. ↓, Bisanz J. ↑,
68', Lopez S. ↓, Alaniz A. ↑,
79', Rios L. ↓, Esquivel S. ↑,
79', Rios G. ↓, Pinero L. ↑,
80', Molina T. ↓, Bentancourt R. ↑,
81', Oroz N. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
82', Maldonado A. 🟨,
90', Rio M. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Gomez L. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Banfield won 1.
Banfield is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Argentinos Juniors is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Banfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Argentinos Juniors will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Banfield: Alvarez J.
(Knee Injury)
Bonifacio E.
(Injury)
Diaz D.
(Broken ankle)
Gomez L.
(Broken ankle)
Gonzalez M.
(Muscle Injury)
Nasif T.
(Ankle Injury)
Obando A.
(Inactive)
Palavecino L.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Ferreira C.
(Muscle Injury)
Romero M.
(Muscle Injury)
Sanchez L.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Banfield: Pombo J.
(Injury)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Banfield won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 11:21 (average 0.8:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Banfield won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:9 (average 0.8:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Banfield - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 28.89%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Riveros P. 
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Abraham I. 
Romero D. (G) 
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