Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Arroyito (Rosario)

Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, ESPN Premium
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Usa	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Rosario Central		Argentinos Juniors

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.25	4.10	Watch
	1.98	3.10	4.00
	2.00	3.15	4.00	Watch
	2.00	3.35	4.43
	2.04	3.23	3.96	Watch
	1.94	3.30	4.35
	1.92	3.32	4.58	Watch
	1.99	3.20	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.19)	3.24 ↑ (3.11)	4.17 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosario Central
47.9%

Draw
29.3%

Argentinos Juniors
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

30.1%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

30.2%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rosario Central's performance.

Argentinos Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	62.5%	25%

Rosario Central - Argentinos Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Werner A. (G) 42. Veron E. 46. Ovando I. 13. Avila G. 3. Sandez A. 5. Ibarra F. 20. Pizarro V. 88. Rodriguez A. 11. Di Maria A. (C) 8. Campaz J. 22. Copetti E.	25. Cortes B. (G) 29. Viveros E. 17. Paredes F. 16. Alvarez F. 6. Vazquez F. 26. Bravo C. 8. Lopez H. 15. Gutierrez K. 11. Oroz N. (C) 27. Molina T. 9. Veron G.
Substitutes
16. Badaloni T. 7. Cabrera M. 26. Cantizano G. 10. Cervi F. 27. Duarte G. 24. Gimenez J. 23. Ledesma C. (G) 15. Mallo Blanco F. 31. Navarro F. 9. Ruben M. 33. Soto A. 2. Zaracho S.	35. Alcaraz A. 36. Bouhier G. 22. Coronel K. 10. Florentin G. 19. Gimenez M. 4. Godoy E. 32. Infantino G. 18. Mancuello F. 23. Mendoza M. 30. Nunez A. 7. Porcel D. 12. Siri Payer G. (G)
Coaches
Almiron J.	Diez N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Ovando I. ⚽, Pizarro V. (A),
45+3', Rodriguez A. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Viveros E. ↓, Alcaraz A. ↑,
69', Vazquez F. 🟨,
71', Oroz N. ↓, Florentin G. ↑,
71', Paredes F. ↓, Coronel K. ↑,
75', Ibarra F. 🟨,
83', Lopez H. ↓, Porcel D. ↑,
83', Bravo C. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
86', Campaz J. ↓, Cantizano G. ↑,
88', Ovando I. 🟨,
88', Almiron J. 🟥,
90+3', Veron E. ↓, Mallo Blanco F. ↑,
90+3', Di Maria A. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Playoffs1/8~finals) and 1st in the Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Playoffs1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Rosario is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Rosario: Coronel E. (Red Card) Fernandez J. (Inactive) Ruben M. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Argentinos Juniors: Gho J. (Knee Injury) Gianini S. (Inactive) Prieto S. (Red Card).

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Rosario has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:19 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rosario against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 17:8 goals (averaging 2.1:1 per game).

Outrights of Argentinian Liga Profesional for now

Rosario Central: 7.39% Argentinos Jrs: 7.39%

Last Results with these Odds

Rosario Central - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.67%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.09.26	Tigre - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Rosario Central - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Rosario Central - Gimnasia La Plata	1:2 ✺
24.08.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Rosario Central	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.08.26	Corinthians - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTLTL
- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.09.26	Argentinos Juniors - Gimnasia La Plata	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Barracas Central - Argentinos Juniors	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Argentinos Juniors - Aldosivi	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Lanús - Argentinos Juniors	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	River Plate - Argentinos Juniors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.03.26	Argentinos Juniors - Rosario Central	0:0
10.05.24	Argentinos Juniors - Rosario Central	3:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
19.03.24	Argentinos Juniors - Rosario Central	3:0
29.10.23	Rosario Central - Argentinos Juniors	3:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.01.23	Rosario Central - Argentinos Juniors	1:0
08.09.22	Argentinos Juniors - Rosario Central	2:1
03.10.21	Rosario Central - Argentinos Juniors	0:1

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