The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Platense 33.6%
Draw 33.6%
Argentinos Juniors 32.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.3%
31.1%
40.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28%
30.7%
41.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Platense's performance.
Argentinos Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Argentinos Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Platense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Argentinos Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
40%
60%
Platense - Argentinos Juniors Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Cozzani J. (G) 4. Lagos A. 34. Mendia M. 31. Victor Cuesta 3. Silva T. 15. Amarfil M. 24. Barrios M. 7. Mainero G. (C) 18. Merlini B. 43. Retamar K. 79. Sepulveda B.
25. Cortes B. (G) 17. Paredes F. 16. Alvarez F. 6. Vazquez F. 20. Prieto S. 5. Carrizo F. 15. Gutierrez K. 11. Oroz N. (C) 7. Porcel D. 27. Molina T. 9. Veron G.
Substitutes
17. Bussio F. 33. Gauto J. 5. Gomez I. 99. Lencina G. 8. Lopez F. 11. Lopez N. 21. Lotti A. 29. Minerva F. 6. Raggio E. 22. Sumavil N. (G) 16. Togni G. 10. Zapiola F.
35. Alcaraz A. 26. Bravo C. 22. Coronel K. 10. Florentin G. 19. Gimenez M. 4. Godoy E. 32. Infantino G. 48. Jainikoski F. 8. Lopez H. 18. Mancuello F. 23. Mendoza M. 12. Siri Payer G. (G)
Coaches
Palermo M.
Diez N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Porcel D. ⚽,
15', Carrizo F. 🟨,
35', Mendia M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Prieto S. 🟨,
63', Amarfil M. ↓, Gomez I. ↑,
63', Mainero G. ↓, Zapiola F. ↑,
63', Sepulveda B. ↓, Lencina G. ↑,
65', Veron G. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Zapiola F. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Gomez I. 🟨,
74', Retamar K. 🟨,
82', Prieto S. ↓, Bravo C. ↑,
82', Carrizo F. ↓, Florentin G. ↑,
82', Merlini B. ↓, Lotti A. ↑,
88', Molina T. ↓, Coronel K. ↑,
88', Porcel D. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 13th and 1st in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Argentinos Juniors could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Platense: Bobadilla H.
(Knee Injury)
Ferreira P.
(Inactive)
Gimenez L.
(Shoulder Injury)
Goni G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Lotti A.
(Inactive)
Nasif T.
(Knee Injury)
Quiros S.
(Knee Injury)
Saborido J.
(Inactive)
Vazquez I.
(Hamstring Injury).
Confirmed absences for Argentinos Juniors: Florentin G.
(Inactive)
Gianini S.
(Inactive)
Viveros E.
(Inactive).
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Platense has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:8 (averaging 0.6:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Platense against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 0.6:0.4 per game).
Outrights of Argentinian Liga Profesional for now
Argentinos Jrs: 8.83% Platense: 0.3%
Last Results with these Odds
Platense - the odds 3.34 are the expected chance of winning is 28.31%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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Cozzani J. (G) 
Barrios M. 
Cortes B. (G) 
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