The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Banfield 25.9%
Draw 30%
Lanús 44.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.1%
31.1%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.8%
31.8%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Banfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lanús's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banfield than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lanús, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
80%
20%
Banfield - Lanús Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Rodriguez D. (C) 4. Alfaro J. L. 2. Daniele S. 6. Meriano N. 27. Abraham I. 10. Gomez L. 5. Esquivel S. 20. Adoryan T. 18. Medina F. 9. Balboa A. 40. Zalazar D.
26. Losada N. (G) 33. Guidara T. 24. Izquierdoz C. (C) 13. Canale J. 6. Marcich S. 17. Medina A. 30. Cardozo A. 16. Sepulveda M. 11. Salvio E. 77. Besozzi L. 20. Wlk A.
Substitutes
11. Alvarez F. 30. Anselmo F. 19. Cano L. 28. Hernandez M. 24. Lopez S. 22. Machado A. 37. Malanca R. 13. Oviedo B. 3. Paz N. 7. Pinero L. 25. Santilli G. (G) 21. Villegas L.
38. Acosta B. 23. Carrera R. 35. De Jesus R. 15. Loaiza R. 42. Lobos G. 40. Lopez T. 3. Morgantini N. 5. Pena Biafore F. 4. Perez G. 1. Petroli F. (G) 19. Valois Y. 8. Watson F. N.
Coaches
Troglio P.
Pellegrino M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Balboa A. ⚽, Gomez L. (A),
33', Izquierdoz C. 🟨,
37', Adoryan T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Zalazar D. ↓, Machado A. ↑,
61', Adoryan T. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Izquierdoz C. ⚽, Sepulveda M. (A),
66', Besozzi L. ↓, Lobos G. ↑,
73', Gomez L. 🟨,
73', Cardozo A. 🟨,
75', Sepulveda M. ↓, Acosta B. ↑,
76', Salvio E. ↓, Carrera R. ↑,
76', Balboa A. 🟨,
84', Medina F. ↓, Pinero L. ↑,
84', Cardozo A. ↓, Pena Biafore F. ↑,
84', Wlk A. ↓, Valois Y. ↑,
90+1', Balboa A. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
90+7', Carrera R. 🟨,
90+8', Lopez S. 🟨,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 12th and 5th in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Banfield won 1.
In recent outings, Banfield has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Lanús is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lanús holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Banfield: Alvarez F.
(Inactive)
Arteaga M.
(Inactive)
Machado A.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Lanús: Romero L.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Banfield has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:20 (averaging 0.9:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Banfield against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 8:8 goals (averaging 0.9:0.9 per game).
Outrights of Argentinian Liga Profesional for now
Lanus: 3.75% Banfield: 0.3%
Last Results with these Odds
Banfield - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 30.12%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.