Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López (Buenos Aires) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:30	AFA Play, ESPN, ESPN Premium
Mexico	14:30	Disney+
Peru	15:30	Disney+
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	17:30	Disney+
Usa	16:30	Fanatiz
Venezuela	16:30	Disney+


	Platense		Lanús

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.82	2.75
	2.85	2.90	2.65
	2.90	2.90	2.63	Watch
	2.96	2.91	2.88
	2.89	2.94	2.73	Watch
	2.90	2.85	2.85
	2.90	2.90	2.83	Watch
	2.75	2.85	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.26)	2.88 ↓ (2.92)	2.77 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platense
33%

Draw
32.8%

Lanús
34.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.5%

31.8%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

30.9%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lanús might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Platense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lanús could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Platense - Lanús Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Cozzani J. (G) 25. Saborido J. 34. Mendia M. 31. Victor Cuesta 3. Silva T. (C) 5. Gomez I. 24. Barrios M. 43. Retamar K. 18. Merlini B. 10. Zapiola F. 79. Sepulveda B.	26. Losada N. (G) 33. Guidara T. 24. Izquierdoz C. (C) 13. Canale J. 6. Marcich S. 17. Medina A. 30. Cardozo A. 16. Sepulveda M. 11. Salvio E. 77. Besozzi L. 20. Wlk A.
Substitutes
15. Amarfil M. 17. Bussio F. 33. Gauto J. 38. Ingenthron C. 4. Lagos A. 99. Lencina G. 11. Lopez N. 21. Lotti A. 7. Mainero G. 6. Raggio E. 22. Sumavil N. (G) 16. Togni G.	38. Acosta B. 23. Carrera R. 35. De Jesus R. 15. Loaiza R. 42. Lobos G. 10. Marcelino Moreno 3. Morgantini N. 5. Pena Biafore F. 4. Perez G. 1. Petroli F. (G) 19. Valois Y. 8. Watson F. N.
Coaches
Palermo M.	Pellegrino M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Victor Cuesta 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Wlk A. ⚽, Marcich S. (A),
43', Sepulveda M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Silva T. 🟨,
58', Medina A. 🟨,
58', Sepulveda B. ↓, Lencina G. ↑,
68', Besozzi L. ↓, Lobos G. ↑,
68', Sepulveda M. ↓, Carrera R. ↑,
68', Zapiola F. ↓, Gauto J. ↑,
74', Wlk A. ↓, Valois Y. ↑,
79', Barrios M. ↓, Amarfil M. ↑,
79', Retamar K. ↓, Mainero G. ↑,
79', Merlini B. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
87', Salvio E. ↓, Morgantini N. ↑,
87', Medina A. ↓, Pena Biafore F. ↑,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 13th and 5th in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 0.

In recent outings, Platense has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Lanús is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, Platense has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Platense: Bobadilla H. (Knee Injury) Ferreira P. (Inactive) Gimenez L. (Shoulder Injury) Goni G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nasif T. (Knee Injury) Quiros S. (Knee Injury) Saborido J. (Inactive) Vazquez I. (Hamstring Injury).

Confirmed absences for Lanús: Romero L. (Inactive).

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Platense has recorded 1 win, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:11 (averaging 0.8:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Platense against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 0.8:0.8 per game).

Outrights of Argentinian Liga Profesional for now

Lanus: 3.75% Platense: 0.3%

Last Results with these Odds

Platense - the odds 3.26 are the expected chance of winning is 28.49%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Platense
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.10.26	Platense - Argentinos Juniors	1:1 ✺
05.10.26	Vélez Sársfield - Platense	2:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
01.10.26	Platense - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.09.26	Platense - Newells Old Boys	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.09.26	Platense - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TTWLW
- CA Lanús
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.10.26	Lanús - Vélez Sársfield	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Newells Old Boys - Lanús	0:0 ✺
21.09.26	Lanús - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Deportivo Riestra - Lanús	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Lanús - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.04.26	Lanús - Platense	0:0
19.09.25	Lanús - Platense	2:1
08.03.25	Platense - Lanús	0:0
11.11.24	Lanús - Platense	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
11.02.24	Lanús - Platense	3:0
14.09.23	Platense - Lanús	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.06.23	Platense - Lanús	0:1

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