Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 29

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Gargzdai stadium (Gargzdai)

Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Banga Gargždai		Kauno Žalgiris

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.10	2.20
	2.95	2.95	2.25
	3.24	3.25	2.33
	3.14	3.16	2.3	Watch
	3.25	3.15	2.18
	3.02	2.98	2.3	Watch
	2.95	3	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.97)	3.08 ↓ (3.29)	2.26 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banga Gargždai
29.8%

Draw
29.7%

Kauno Žalgiris
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

28.2%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

27.2%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banga Gargždai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

The chances for Kauno Žalgiris have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banga Gargždai than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Banga Gargždai - Kauno Žalgiris Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Krynskyi V. (G) 3. Malzinskas D. 6. Simao J. 27. Henning R. 13. Zebrauskas N. (C) 45. Sato M. 51. Cadu 99. Olugbogi A. 10. Magdusauskas V. 11. Filipavicius R. 9. Appiah A.	55. Svedkauskas T. (C) 62. Kastrati L. 33. Konatar M. 23. Hernandez A. 3. Tolordava A. 14. Slivka V. 24. Burba M. 27. Debeljuh G. 32. Baldassarra F. 7. Benchaib A. 9. Krekovic L.
Substitutes
22. Ambrazaitis M. 17. Andrejev M. 19. Antuzis V. 30. Cande U. 12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 20. Levsinas A. 28. Lukas D. 55. Sheriff M. 77. Venckus I. 1. Vitkauskas A. (G)	11. Cernych F. 17. Fiolic I. 37. Iyobosa Edokpolor N. 20. Kalik A. 8. Karashima Y. 77. Lekiatas R. 15. Leo Ribeiro 22. Mikelionis D. (G) 45. Moutachy J. 70. Ourega F. 19. Renan Oliveira 10. Sirgedas G.
Coaches
Marques Afonso D.	Sopic Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Banga won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Banga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Banga has had a series of away games.

Recently, Kauno Žalgiris has had a series of home games.

Kauno Žalgiris will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Banga won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 0.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Banga won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kauno Zalgiris	28	14	9	5	56:20	36	51
5	Banga	28	11	8	9	32:28	4	41

Last Results with these Odds

Kauno Žalgiris - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.53%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Banga Gargždai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
23.08.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Banga Gargždai	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	2:3 ✺
09.08.26	Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:3 ✺
03.08.26	FA Šiauliai - Banga Gargždai	1:3 ✺
19.07.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Banga Gargždai	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWLWL
- FK Kauno Žalgiris
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Beşiktaş	1:0 ✺
20.08.26	Beşiktaş - Kauno Žalgiris	3:0 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
16.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Transinvest	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Dinamo Zagreb	1:2 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
08.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
17.06.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	0:1
01.05.26	Banga Gargždai - Kauno Žalgiris	2:2
28.02.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	1:0
08.11.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	0:0
30.08.25	Banga Gargždai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:0
30.06.25	Banga Gargždai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:2
27.04.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	0:1

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