Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Darius and Girėnas Stadium (Kaunas)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2
Lithuania	TV3
Norway	VG+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kauno Žalgiris		Dinamo Zagreb

	1	X	2
	7	4.2	1.45	Watch
	6.25	4.33	1.50
	6.9	4.6	1.44	Watch
	6.85	4.73	1.44
	7	4.84	1.42	Watch
	6.6	4.65	1.42
	6.53	4.81	1.51	Watch
	6.8	4.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.74 ↓ (7.53)	4.6 ↓ (5.01)	1.45 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris
14.1%

Draw
20.6%

Dinamo Zagreb
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

19.2%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4%

18.6%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.2%	24.2%	60.6%

Kauno Žalgiris - Dinamo Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 19 - 61.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 22.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 44.2% – 78.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mikelionis D. (C) 45. Moutachy J. 3. Tolordava A. 77. Lekiatas R. 33. Konatar M. 32. Baldassarra F. 24. Burba M. 7. Benchaib A. 14. Slivka V. 9. Krekovic L. 19. Renan Oliveira	44. Filipovic I. (G) 22. Perez Vinlof M. 36. Dominguez S. 26. McKenna S. 25. Valincic M. 99. Orsic M. 27. Misic J. (C) 7. Stojkovic L. 80. Kacavenda L. 9. Beljo D. 21. Lisica M.
Substitutes
27. Debeljuh G. 17. Fiolic I. 23. Hernandez A. 37. Iyobosa Edokpolor N. 20. Kalik A. 8. Karashima Y. 15. Leo Ribeiro 70. Ourega F. 10. Sirgedas G. 55. Svedkauskas T. (G)	15. Galesic N. 3. Goda B. 11. Hoxha A. 33. Nevistic I. (G) 14. Prevljak S. 6. Radeljic S. 41. Sunta S. 13. Tabinas P. 30. Topic F. 10. Vidovic G. 1. Zagorac D. (G) 8. Zajc M.
Coaches
Sopic Z.	Kovacevic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', Tolordava A. 🟨,
11', Moutachy J. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Kacavenda L. ⚽, Beljo D. (A),
30', 0 - 2, Misic J. ⚽,
32', Filipovic I. 🟥,
34', Lisica M. ↓, Nevistic I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Stojkovic L. ↓, Vidovic G. ↑,
46', Perez Vinlof M. ↓, Goda B. ↑,
46', Renan Oliveira ↓, Debeljuh G. ↑,
54', Beljo D. 🟨,
56', 1 - 2, Debeljuh G. ⚽,
58', Burba M. ↓, Fiolic I. ↑,
58', Krekovic L. ↓, Leo Ribeiro ↑,
61', Beljo D. ↓, Topic F. ↑,
66', Baldassarra F. ↓, Kalik A. ↑,
72', Kacavenda L. ↓, Galesic N. ↑,
80', Benchaib A. ↓, Ourega F. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 0-5.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Kauno Žalgiris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Dinamo Zagreb has had a series of home games.

In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kauno Žalgiris won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
08.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.08.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Kauno Žalgiris	5:0 ✺
29.07.26	Kauno Žalgiris - KÍ Klaksvík	1:0 ✺
21.07.26	KÍ Klaksvík - Kauno Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
18.07.26	Kauno Žalgiris - FA Šiauliai	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWTW
- Dinamo Zagreb
UEFA Champions League
04.08.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Kauno Žalgiris	5:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
31.07.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Slaven Belupo	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Thun	3:2 ET ✺
21.07.26	Thun - Dinamo Zagreb	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Dinamo Zagreb - LNZ Cherkasy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
04.08.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Kauno Žalgiris	5:0

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