Match Info
Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday
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Hegelmann Litauen |
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Kauno Žalgiris |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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6.00 |
4.00 |
1.43 |
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 |
5.9 |
4.05 |
1.45 |
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 |
6.15 |
4.25 |
1.46 |
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6.12 |
4.36 |
1.46 |
 Watch |
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6 |
3.8 |
1.44 |
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6.45 |
4.05 |
1.43 |
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4.5 |
3.45 |
1.54 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.87 ↑
(4.81) |
3.99 ↑
(3.63) |
1.46 ↓
(1.6) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hegelmann Litauen
15.4% | Draw
22.6% | Kauno Žalgiris
62% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hegelmann Litauen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Kauno Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kauno Žalgiris's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hegelmann Litauen than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-2.8%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hegelmann won 0.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Hegelmann may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Kauno Žalgiris is the clear favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hegelmann won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:41. (average 1.3:2.1).Including home matches between the teams, Hegelmann won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).
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Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Kauno Zalgiris | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 34:13 | 21 | 29 |
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| 8 | Hegelmann | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 17 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Kauno Žalgiris - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 56.44%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Lithuanian TOPLYGA | | | 11.04.26 | Kauno Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen | 5:0 | | 01.10.25 | Hegelmann Litauen - Kauno Žalgiris | 1:1 | | 27.08.25 | Kauno Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen | 2:1 | | 19.06.25 | Hegelmann Litauen - Kauno Žalgiris | 1:2 | | 16.04.25 | Kauno Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen | 3:1 | | 24.08.24 | Hegelmann Litauen - Kauno Žalgiris | 1:1 | | 23.06.24 | Kauno Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen | 4:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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