Match Info

LITHUANIA: I Lyga - Round 23

Date: 23 September 2024, Monday

Location: Gargzdai stadium (Gargzdai)


	Banga Gargždai 2		Kauno Žalgiris 2

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	1.98
	3.17	3.65	1.97
	3.17	3.71	1.99	Watch
	3.1	3.75	1.91
	3.14	3.58	2
	3	3.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.73)	3.67 ↑ (3.47)	1.98 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banga Gargždai 2
29.4%

Draw
24.7%

Kauno Žalgiris 2
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

26%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

24.9%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banga Gargždai 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Kauno Žalgiris 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banga Gargždai 2 than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Banga Gargždai 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris 2 than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kauno Žalgiris 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Banga Gargždai 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 57. Ambrazaitis M. 53. Juozapavicius J. 14. Kirjanov E. 97. Luza A. 21. Pliuskys K. (C) 81. Praleika S. 31. Ruskys L. 11. Smulkys E. 27. Straksys A. 95. Zvaigzdinas M.	35. Miksiunas J. (G) 28. Hylton J. 49. Jakubauskas M. 45. Lipcius A. 11. Martin D. 46. Milius T. 83. Nainys P. (C) 41. Rybelis A. 48. Stelmokas T. 77. Traore M. 30. Vosylius N.
Substitutes
77. Balasanov A. 35. Bertasius M. 16. Bockus V. 29. Griksas J. 42. Griksas M. 86. Kasperavicius P. 6. Litvinas N. 96. Paksas D. 55. Urbonas N. (G)	31. Bilevicius L. 61. Jankauskas J. 34. Razanauskas M. (G) 53. Slivinskas A. 60. Tunc M. M. 14. Uzela K. 32. Vaiteikaitis U. 37. Zukovskis J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Traore M. 🟨,
25', Jakubauskas M. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Smulkys E. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vosylius N. ↓, Vaiteikaitis U. ↑,
74', 🟨,
88', 0 - 2, Jankauskas J. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two teams.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Banga 2 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Banga 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Banga Gargždai 2
Lithuanian Division 2
16.09.24	Panevėžys 2 - Banga Gargždai 2	2:0 ✺
04.09.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Tauras Tauragė	2:2 ✺
25.08.24	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Banga Gargždai 2	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Riteriai	1:3 ✺
09.08.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Banga Gargždai 2	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLLL
- Kauno Žalgiris 2
Lithuanian Division 2
16.09.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Hegelmann Litauen 2	0:2 ✺
30.08.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:0 ✺
23.08.24	Nevėžis - Kauno Žalgiris 2	6:0 ✺
18.08.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Neptūnas	2:2 ✺
09.08.24	Babrungas Plungė - Kauno Žalgiris 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
04.05.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Banga Gargždai 2	2:1
15.10.21	Banga Gargždai 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	3:1
23.06.21	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Banga Gargždai 2	1:2

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