Match Info

Date: 7 March 2022, Monday


	Bangladesh Police		Swadhinata

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.25	3	3
	2.3	2.9	2.85
	2.33	3.18	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.92)	3.02 ↓ (3.22)	2.98 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangladesh Police
39.9%

Draw
29.8%

Swadhinata
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

27.9%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

19.7%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangladesh Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bangladesh Police's form might have worsened.

Swadhinata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangladesh Police than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bangladesh Police that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swadhinata than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swadhinata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bangladesh Police - Swadhinata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Bangladesh Police is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Swadhinata is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangladesh Police FC
Bangladesh BFL
02.03.22	Bangladesh Police - Muktijoddha Sangsad	1:0 ✺
24.02.22	Uttar Baridhara - Bangladesh Police	0:2 ✺
17.02.22	Bashundhara Kings - Bangladesh Police	3:0 ✺
12.02.22	Sheikh Jamal - Bangladesh Police	0:0 ✺
08.02.22	Bangladesh Police - Abahani Limited	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWLTT
- Swadhinata KS
Bangladesh BFL
01.03.22	Swadhinata - Saif Sporting Club	1:5 ✺
25.02.22	Muktijoddha Sangsad - Swadhinata	2:1 ✺
19.02.22	Swadhinata - Abahani Limited Chittagong	1:2 ✺
10.02.22	Swadhinata - Mohammedan	0:1 ✺
03.02.22	Bashundhara Kings - Swadhinata	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLLLW

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