Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Championship - Round 28

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday


	Bangor		Ballinamallard United

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.5	5
	1.46	4.4	5.11
	1.51	4.56	5.39
	1.44	4.5	5
	1.45	4.4	5.48
	1.47	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.34)	4.48 ↓ (5.5)	5.16 ↓ (5.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangor
62%

Draw
20.3%

Ballinamallard United
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

16.5%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

16.4%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bangor's form might have worsened.

Ballinamallard United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangor than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bangor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballinamallard United than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Bangor - Ballinamallard United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Arthurs B. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
82', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Bangor is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ballinamallard is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bangor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bangor is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bangor won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:9 (average 2:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Bangor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangor FC
Northern Irish Championship
08.02.25	Ards - Bangor	0:0 ✺
04.02.25	Bangor - Ballyclare Comrades	4:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
01.02.25	Bangor - Annagh United	3:0 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
17.01.25	Newry City - Bangor	2:1 ✺
10.01.25	Bangor - Limavady United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWLW
- Ballinamallard United
Northern Irish Championship
08.02.25	Ballinamallard United - Dundela	3:1 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
01.02.25	Ballinamallard United - Carrick Rangers	0:3 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
25.01.25	Ballinamallard United - Ards	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Ballinamallard United	4:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
04.01.25	Ballymacash Rangers - Ballinamallard United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
21.12.24	Bangor - Ballinamallard United	3:2
12.10.24	Ballinamallard United - Bangor	4:0
09.03.24	Ballinamallard United - Bangor	0:4
28.10.23	Bangor - Ballinamallard United	0:3
09.09.23	Ballinamallard United - Bangor	0:3

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