Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: Irish Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday


	Ballinamallard United		Carrick Rangers

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.53
	4.8	3.95	1.54
	4.68	4.07	1.54
	4.96	4.14	1.55	Watch
	5.25	3.75	1.53
	5.06	4.33	1.53
	4.8	3.95	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.94 ↓ (5.5)	4.03 ↑ (3.9)	1.54 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballinamallard United
18.4%

Draw
22.5%

Carrick Rangers
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

23.4%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

22.7%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballinamallard United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Carrick Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballinamallard United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrick Rangers than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Ballinamallard United - Carrick Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, O'Malley C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 2, Heatley P. ⚽,
65', Clucas S. 🟥,
71', 0 - 3, McCullough L. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballinamallard United
Northern Irish Championship
25.01.25	Ballinamallard United - Ards	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Ballinamallard United	4:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
04.01.25	Ballymacash Rangers - Ballinamallard United	1:2 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
30.12.24	Limavady United - Ballinamallard United	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Ballinamallard United - Newry City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWLW
- Carrick Rangers
Northern Irish Premiership
25.01.25	Glenavon - Carrick Rangers	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Carrick Rangers - Ballymena United	0:0 ✺
11.01.25	Linfield - Carrick Rangers	3:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
04.01.25	Carrick Rangers - Newry City	4:3 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
30.12.24	Carrick Rangers - Crusaders	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Cup
11.02.19	Ballinamallard United - Carrick Rangers	1:0
Northern Irish Premiership
17.04.18	Ballinamallard United - Carrick Rangers	2:1
29.12.17	Carrick Rangers - Ballinamallard United	2:2
21.10.17	Ballinamallard United - Carrick Rangers	2:0
25.08.17	Carrick Rangers - Ballinamallard United	2:0
29.04.17	Ballinamallard United - Carrick Rangers	4:1
13.01.17	Carrick Rangers - Ballinamallard United	1:2

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