Match Info

Date: 30 October 2021, Saturday


	Bangor City		Penrhyncoch

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	4
	1.55	3.95	4.3
	1.64	4.05	3.73
	1.56	4.1	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.47)	4.03 ↑ (3.82)	4.23 ↓ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangor City
56.4%

Draw
22.3%

Penrhyncoch
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

22.6%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7%

18%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangor City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Penrhyncoch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangor City than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bangor City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penrhyncoch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 13).

Bangor City has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Penrhyncoch is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bangor City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bangor City is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bangor City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Bangor City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangor City
Welsh Cymru North
22.10.21	Conwy Borough - Bangor City	4:2 ✺
02.10.21	Bangor City - Ruthin Town	1:2 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
25.09.21	Swansea University - Bangor City	1:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
21.09.21	Bangor City - Bala Town	0:1 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru North
18.09.21	Holywell Town - Bangor City	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- Penrhyncoch FC
Welsh Cymru North
23.10.21	Penrhyncoch - Llanrhaeadr	0:0 ✺
02.10.21	Holyhead Hotspur - Penrhyncoch	1:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
22.09.21	Penrhyncoch - Pontypridd United	1:3 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
18.09.21	Guilsfield - Penrhyncoch	2:2 ✺
11.09.21	Penrhyncoch - Llandudno	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
27.07.21	Penrhyncoch - Bangor City	0:1
Welsh Cymru Alliance
09.04.19	Bangor City - Penrhyncoch	1:3

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