Match Info

Date: 21 September 2021, Tuesday


	Bangor City		Bala Town

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.7	1.36
	6.2	4.7	1.36
	6.4	4.81	1.4
	6.5	4.33	1.36
	7.6	4.8	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.64 ↓ (6.8)	4.67 ↑ (4.32)	1.37 (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangor City
13.7%

Draw
19.5%

Bala Town
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

20.9%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.5%

18%

76.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangor City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Bala Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangor City than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bala Town than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bala Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bangor City - Bala Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Recent matches Bangor City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bala Town is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Bala Town is certain favorite.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Bangor City won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 29-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Bangor City won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangor City
Welsh Cymru North
18.09.21	Holywell Town - Bangor City	3:3 ✺
11.09.21	Bangor City - Gresford Athletic	0:2 ✺
27.08.21	Bangor City - Llangefni Town	6:0 ✺
24.08.21	Llanrhaeadr - Bangor City	1:1 ✺
20.08.21	Bangor City - Holyhead Hotspur	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWTW
- Bala Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
18.09.21	Gap Connahs Quay - Bala Town	0:1 ✺
11.09.21	Bala Town - Haverfordwest County	6:2 ✺
31.08.21	Aberystwyth Town - Bala Town	0:1 ✺
28.08.21	Bala Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	0:0 ✺
21.08.21	Barry Town United - Bala Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
08.10.19	Bala Town - Bangor City	2:1 penalties
Welsh Cymru Premier
27.04.18	Bala Town - Bangor City	1:2
09.03.18	Bangor City - Bala Town	1:2
24.11.17	Bangor City - Bala Town	5:0
07.10.17	Bala Town - Bangor City	0:1
17.03.17	Bangor City - Bala Town	1:2
04.02.17	Bala Town - Bangor City	3:2

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