Match Info

Carioca 2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Moça Bonita (Rio de Janeiro)


	Bangu		Araruama

	1	X	2
	1.78	2.95	4.4
	1.8	3.1	4.85
	2.02	2.61	4.8
	2.57	2.22	4.06	Watch
	1.8	2.99	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.95)	2.77 ↓ (3.05)	4.58 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangu
46.4%

Draw
33.4%

Araruama
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

30.1%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

28.9%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Araruama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangu than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araruama than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Bangu - Araruama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Bere ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Araruama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Araruama has had a series of home games.

In this match, Bangu is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Bangu will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bangu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangu AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
03.08.25	Araruama - Bangu	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Bangu - Americano Rio de Janeiro	N/A ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
30.07.25	Campo Grande - Bangu	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
12.07.25	Bangu - Petrópolis	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Resende - Bangu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 T?WTW
- Araruama FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
03.08.25	Araruama - Bangu	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Araruama - São Gonçalo	N/A ✺
06.07.25	Araruama - America RJ	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Audax Rio - Araruama	1:2 ✺
21.06.25	Araruama - Duque de Caxias	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 T?WWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
03.08.25	Araruama - Bangu	0:0
08.06.25	Araruama - Bangu	0:1

Bangu - Araruama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide