Match Info

Carioca 2 - Round 10

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday


	Resende		Bangu

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.6	3.3
	2.42	2.68	3.4
	2.38	2.63	3.34
	2.38	2.74	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.02)	2.66 ↓ (3)	3.31 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Resende
38.4%

Draw
34.2%

Bangu
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

30.1%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Resende has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Resende's form might have worsened.

Bangu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resende than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Resende, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangu than the current prediction. (-3%)

Resende - Bangu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Bere ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, Cristiano ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Resende won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Resende could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Resende won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Resende won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Resende FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
29.06.25	Petrópolis - Resende	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	São Gonçalo - Resende	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Resende - Cabofriense	1:0 ✺
08.06.25	Pérolas Negras - Resende	0:1 ✺
04.06.25	Resende - Americano Rio de Janeiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWWL
- Bangu AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
28.06.25	Bangu - Cabofriense	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Pérolas Negras - Bangu	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Bangu - Americano Rio de Janeiro	1:1 ✺
08.06.25	Araruama - Bangu	0:1 ✺
04.06.25	Bangu - America RJ	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
18.01.23	Bangu - Resende	1:0
12.02.22	Bangu - Resende	0:0
27.03.21	Bangu - Resende	0:0
23.01.20	Resende - Bangu	1:1
03.02.19	Resende - Bangu	3:0
18.02.17	Resende - Bangu	0:1
08.04.15	Bangu - Resende	1:3

Resende - Bangu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide